SPC MD 442

MD 0442 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH LIKELY FOR EASTERN TENNESSEE…NORTHERN GEORGIA…EXTREME WESTERN CAROLINAS

Mesoscale Discussion 0442
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

Areas affected...eastern Tennessee...northern Georgia...extreme
western Carolinas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 102045Z - 102245Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered storms, a few of which may be severe, are likely
to affect parts of northern Georgia and eastern Tennessee, and
possibly into the far western Carolinas by early evening.

DISCUSSION...Storms continue to increase across TN, beneath the
cooler midlevel temperatures. Meanwhile, a midlevel cloud band has
moved out of the region, allowing heating behind. Given this
expected destabilization via heating and advection out of the west,
cells moving into the region are expected to remain strong or
severe, producing hail and localized wind gusts. The greatest risk
of damaging hail will be over southern areas, including northern GA,
where temperatures have warmed substantially and lapse rates are
quite steep.

..Jewell/Gleason.. 04/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...

LAT...LON   33858534 34798555 35278534 35838515 36238490 36508420
            36538299 36438240 36048216 35258250 34328322 33618497
            33858534 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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