MD 0628 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 198… FOR PARTS OF EAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0628
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0719 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
Areas affected...Parts of east Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 198...
Valid 010019Z - 010145Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 198 continues.
SUMMARY...Risk of severe hail persists across parts of east Texas --
within WW198.
DISCUSSION...Semi-discrete storms have been confined to the north of
an outflow-reinforced cold front across east TX -- where steep
midlevel lapse rates/ample elevated instability and 50 kt of
effective shear is favoring a severe hail risk. Over the next few
hours, the front may move slowly southward, though it is unclear if
storms will become surface-based. Nevertheless, a severe hail risk
should persist for another couple hours, and either an extension of
the current watch or an additional watch (Severe Thunderstorm) would
be warranted.
..Weinman/Smith.. 05/01/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...
LAT...LON 31209766 31499746 31859667 32179524 32069486 31709473
31339512 30719655 30659715 30849759 31209766
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN