SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the Carolinas. ...Parts of central/south TX... Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe threat into parts of Deep South TX. ...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau... Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat of localized wind damage. Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated gusty/damaging winds possible. ..Dean.. 05/03/2025