SPC May 3, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening and
tonight from parts of central and south Texas northeastward to the
Carolinas.

...Parts of central/south TX...
Widely scattered supercells are ongoing this evening from parts of
the Edwards Plateau into south-central TX, within a strongly
unstable and favorably sheared environment. A threat for large to
very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado will
continue with these supercells through mid evening. While MLCINH
will gradually increase with time, there is some potential for
storms to cluster in the vicinity of a southward-moving cold front
later tonight, which could eventually bring an organized severe
threat into parts of Deep South TX. 

...Southeast TX into the Allegheny Plateau...
Large-scale ascent in advance of a southeastward-moving
mid/upper-level shortwave trough may help to maintain occasional
strong to severe storms through the evening and into the overnight
near and north of the central Gulf Coast vicinity, posing a threat
of localized wind damage. 

Other ongoing storms from central AL/north GA into parts of the
Carolinas will tend to gradually weaken with time with the onset of
nocturnal cooling/stabilization, but at least a localized severe
threat may persist through mid/late evening as occasionally
organized cells/clusters move east-northeastward. A strong storm or
two also remains possible into parts of the Northeast, with isolated
gusty/damaging winds possible.

..Dean.. 05/03/2025

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