No watches are valid as of Sun May 18 16:22:02 UTC 2025.
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SPC MD 856
MD 0856 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 0856 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0954 AM CDT Sun May 18 2025 Areas affected...parts of northern Mississippi into much of central Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 181454Z - 181730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...An isolated severe risk over northern Mississippi may increase in coverage and spread into northern and central Alabama by early afternoon. Damaging winds would be the main risk. DISCUSSION...A small MCS is currently moving across northern MS, with periodic strengthening. Outflow extends southwestward from this system
SPC May 18, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1116 AM CDT Sun May 18 2025 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards are expected this afternoon and evening across portions of the central and southern Plains. Several strong to intense tornadoes are possible. ...KS/OK... A large upper trough continues to deepen over the western US, with a
SPC May 18, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 AM CDT Sun May 18 2025 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND PARTS OF ALABAMA AND GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards are expected later today across portions of the central and southern Plains. Several strong to intense tornadoes are possible. ...Central/Southern Plains... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a potent