No watches are valid as of Mon May 19 16:35:01 UTC 2025.
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SPC May 19, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 191630Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS FAR NORTH TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND THE OZARKS... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EAST TENNESSEE INTO SOUTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Significant severe weather is likely from the central/southern Plains into the the Ozarks today into tonight. All severe weather hazards are expected, to include tornadoes (some potentially strong to intense), very large hail, and severe
SPC MD 874
MD 0874 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0874 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1028 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Areas affected...parts of central and northeast Texas...southeastern Oklahoma and adjacent southwestern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 191528Z - 191730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...An increase in strong thunderstorm development appears possible through Noon to 2 PM CDT. This may include evolving supercells, accompanied by a risk for tornadoes, in addition to large hail. Trends are being monitored for the possibility of a severe weather watch.
SPC MD 875
MD 0875 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0875 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Areas affected...central Oklahoma into south central Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191612Z - 191845Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...A few rapidly developing and intensifying supercells appear possible as early as 1-3 PM CDT, accompanied by a risk for large to giant hail and a strong tornado or two. DISCUSSION...Convergence along the dryline appears at least initially weak, and it is not clear how much this will change as it gradually