Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 22nd, 2025

• Rain chances shift southeastward to the Florida Peninsula today along and ahead of a weak cold front (40-60% chance of rain).
• Greatest concentration of shower and thunderstorm activity resides south of the I-4 corridor (60-70% chance of rain); activity to increase in coverage and intensity during the peak heating hours of the day.
• The interaction between the frontal boundary and the afternoon sea breeze will allow for a few strong to severe thunderstorms to develop over the interior and eastern Florida Peninsula later today.
• The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty winds (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, instances of hail (up to 1” in diameter, or quarter-size), and heavy downpours.
• Intense rainfall rates within slow-moving thunderstorms may result in areas of flooding and ponding water along the urban corridors of the Southeast Florida Peninsula.
• Afternoon high temperatures will reach the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide, with triple digit heat indices (98 to 102-degrees) for the central and southern Florida Peninsula.
• Areas of fog and low clouds cannot be ruled out over interior portions of the state tonight; risk remains very isolated in nature.
• Moderate to high risk of rip currents continues for Florida Panhandle beaches, moderate risk conditions return to the Florida East Coast.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report