Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A weak area of high pressure situated over the eastern Gulf will once again promote cloud-free skies across North Florida and elevated rain chances in the Florida Peninsula (50-80%).
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Periods of southerly flow may provide just moisture across North Florida for a thunderstorm or two along the western Florida Panhandle to develop this afternoon (10-30% chance of rain).
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Thunderstorm coverage and intensity will maximize through the peak heating hours of the day, courtesy of the afternoon sea breeze; thunderstorms will likely become strong to severe.
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There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather along and south of the I-4 corridor as thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong wind gusts (50-65 mph), frequent lightning, instances of large hail (1-1.5” in diameter, or quarter-size to ping pong ball-size), and locally heavy downpours.
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Thunderstorms could lead to areas of flooding and ponding water across low-lying/poor drainage areas, especially for locations that receive prolonged periods of heavy thunderstorm activity.
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Very warm temperatures can be expected statewide, with afternoon highs topping out in the upper 80s to middle 90s.
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Prior to any rain relief this afternoon, some Florida locations may see triple digit heat indices (98 to 102-degrees).
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The return of low-level moisture may allow for areas of patchy fog and low clouds to develop across North Florida and the Suwannee River Valley by early Sunday morning.
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Elevated to locally sensitive wildfire concerns can be expected; thunderstorms producing frequent lightning may ignite new wildfires, especially in locations experiencing long-term drought/dry soils and vegetation.
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Moderate risk of rip currents can be expected along Florida Panhandle and Northeast Florida beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.