SPC MD 963

MD 0963 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 320… FOR EAST-CENTRAL CO INTO WESTERN KS

Mesoscale Discussion 0963
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1134 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Areas affected...East-central CO into western KS

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320...

Valid 250434Z - 250600Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 320
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to isolated severe storms will remain possible
overnight.

DISCUSSION...An earlier cluster of storms over east-central CO has
weakened somewhat over the last hour, though persistent
redevelopment is occurring along its southwest flank, and there is
some indication that a weak MCV has formed in association with this
convection. Convection will tend to remain elevated overnight as it
spreads east-southeastward, but MUCAPE ranging from 500-1500 J/kg
and sufficient deep-layer shear will continue to support
occasionally organized storms and perhaps an elevated bowing cluster
overnight, with a threat of at least isolated hail and strong/severe
gusts. 

Additional elevated storms may eventually develop downstream of the
ongoing cluster, within a low-level warm advection regime. These
storms could also pose an isolated hail threat. With some severe
potential expected to continue overnight, downstream watch issuance
is possible.

..Dean/Mosier.. 05/25/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   39300282 39280226 39090077 38910003 38419959 37919972
            37610005 37660037 37830178 38030246 38310308 38500334
            38690340 38930301 39070285 39180284 39300282 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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