Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed this morning offshore along the Southwest Florida and Treasure Coast coastlines, but will dissipate before afternoon activity develops.
A frontal boundary continues to linger over the Deep South, which will aid shower and thunderstorm development across North Florida this afternoon and evening as the sea breeze moves inland (15-35% chance of rain).
Throughout the Peninsula, the typical sea breeze thunderstorm pattern will develop as the sea breeze boundaries move inland then collide with one another created producing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms (40-70% chance if rain).
Embedded strong to severe thunderstormswill be possible statewide throughout the afternoon and evening hours as atmospheric and environmental conditions may become favorable with the help of daytime heating processes.
Summertime heatcontinue as temperatures will rise into the upper 80s to middle 90s statewide this afternoon.
Feels-like temperatures will reach into the middle to upper 90sacross the state, with portions of South Florida and the Keys reaching the lower 100s.
Shower and thunderstorm activity across the state will linger through the evening hours as they begin to dissipate and move offshore with the lack of daytime heating.
A thunderstorm complex traveling eastward from Texas may scrape portions of northern Florida (north of the I-10 corridor) and could bring additional showers and thunderstorms later in the evening and overnight; however, there is some uncertainty as to if this system will get close enough to bring any activity (15-25% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has included portions of the far western Panhandle and Northeast Florida within the Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
Instances of fogcannot be ruled out early Tuesday morning throughout the Suwannee Valley and Big Bend.
Low temperatures will remain in the upper 60s to upper 70s overnight, with portions of South Florida and the Keys seeing low temperatures in the lower 80s.
A moderate risk of rip currentscan be expected along Florida Panhandle and Atlantic beaches today.
There is no organized risk for flash flooding today; however, sea breeze driven shower and thunderstorm activity will be capable of producing locally heavy downpours that could lead to instances of flash flooding.
Rainfall totals of 1-2” can be expected, with locally higher totalsupwards of 3-5” possible for portions of Northeast Florida and the Peninsula.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.