A typical summertime pattern can be expected as showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breeze this afternoon, especially throughout the interior Peninsula (50-70% chance of rain).
Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the afternoon and evening.
Slightly drier conditions across North Florida will limit shower and thunderstorm coverage, but a few showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze may be possible.
A thunderstorm complex will travel along the Gulf Coast and towards the Florida Panhandle throughout the afternoon and evening, bringing isolated showers and thunderstorms mostly along and north of the I-10 corridor (25-60% chance of rain).
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and locally heavy rainfall.
There is a small portion of the Northwest Panhandle within the Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather.
A brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out along the northwest Panhandle.
Instances of locally heavy rainfall with any repeated rounds of rainfall or slow-moving thunderstorms could lead to instances of localized flash flooding, especially with the complex moving along the northwestern Panhandle – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding.
Warm and muggy conditions can be expected across the state with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to middle 100s.
Isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms may continue into the overnight hours, mostly along the Gulf and West Coasts, but otherwise mostly dry conditions can be expected (15-25% chance of rain).
Instances of patchy fog will be possible throughout North Florida and the Suwannee Valley by sunrise Wednesday morning.
Low temperatures will fall into the 70s statewide, with low temperatures in the lower 80s across Southeast Florida and the Keys.
A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected along numerous Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with a low risk expected elsewhere.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.