Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Remnants of a thunderstorm complex are currently moving along the Panhandle coast, and will continue to move offshore throughout the morning hours.
- As the complex moves offshore, shower and thunderstorm activity will become sparse and remain limited to the sea breeze this afternoon and evening along the I-10 corridor (25-50% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the I-10 corridor as upper-level support may allow for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms late in the day.
- Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), small hail, and locally heavy rainfall.
- The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will set up throughout the interior Peninsula as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms develop along the sea breeze boundaries (45-70% chance of rain).
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the peak heating hours of the day.
- While there is no organized risk for flash flooding, locally heavy downpours within thunderstorm activity could lead to a quick onset of ponding of water and localized flash flooding.
- Warm and muggy conditions will create high temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s this afternoon, with heat index values in the middle 90s to middle 100s.
- A quick reprieve in activity can be expected heading into the overnight hours across North Florida, but another thunderstorm complex will move into the Panhandle early Thursday morning brining additional activity (15-35% chance of rain).
- Elsewhere, mostly dry and calm conditions can be expected overnight throughout the rest of the state as activity moves offshore and dissipates.
- Instances of patchy fog may be possible early Thursday morning along the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s to lower 80s throughout the state overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents persists for numerous Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches due to onshore winds and wave heights near 1-3′.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.