Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 29th, 2025

• Numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms along the Florida Panhandle will advance eastward through the day (70-90% chance of rain).
• Strong to locally severe thunderstorms possible for North and Central Florida; the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
• Thunderstorms will produce very heavy rainfall rates; instances of flash flooding and ponding water expected for Florida Panhandle communities as multiple rounds of thunderstorm activity trains across the region.
• Radar and computer model trends this morning also suggest an isolated waterspout or tornado cannot be ruled out along the Florida Panhandle through the daytime heating hours.
• More conducive environment for strong to severe thunderstorm activity resides east of the I-75/I-10 interchange; Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather outlooked for northeastern Baker, northern Duval, and Nassau Counties.
• Typical summertime pattern expected across the remainder of the Sunshine State, with greatest rain chances spanning from the spine of the Florida Peninsula to the Space and Treasure Coasts (60-70% chance of rain); gusty winds (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, small hail, and heavy downpours possible.
• Triple digit heat indices (98 to 105-degrees)expected for West Florida and portions of the interior Florida Peninsula this afternoon.
• A few interior North Florida locations may see patchy fog and low clouds form tonight into Friday morning; however, widespread fog development is not anticipated.
• A moderate to high risk of rip currents can be expected along most Florida Panhandle beaches today, with moderate risk conditions outlooked for the Atlantic Coast.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report