SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025 Valid 020100Z - 021200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered large hail and isolated damaging winds remain possible this evening across portions of Texas. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a notable short-wave trough digging southeast across the lower MS Valley region. The tail end of this feature extends into northeast TX where it appears to be partially influential in ongoing strong/severe thunderstorm activity. Slow-moving surface boundary is currently draped across the south side of the Metroplex, extending into northwest TX, north of Abilene. 00z sounding from FWD exhibited seasonally strong instability with around 3000 J/kg MLCAPE, and adequate 0-6km bulk shear for organized updrafts. Later this evening, some increase in the LLJ is forecast across the TX South Plains, but low-level inflow is expected to remain somewhat weak farther east along the I-35 corridor. Even so, southward propagation along the instability axis is expected with these hail-producing clusters into the late-evening hours. ..Darrow.. 06/02/2025