Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- An active weather pattern will continue across the Peninsula as a frontal boundary remains draped along the I-4 corridor.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms have already developed this morning, and additional activity will develop with the help of daytime heating and the daily sea breeze (50-85% chance of rain).
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible along portions of East-Central and South Florida this afternoon and evening, and the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- Strong thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and locally heavy rainfall.
- An embedded tornado or funnel cloud cannot be ruled out along the sea breeze.
- Plenty of available moisture across the Peninsula will give way to multiple rounds of heavy rainfall, which could lead to instances of flash flooding for urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding throughout the Peninsula, with a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) across South Florida through today.
- Widespread rainfall totals of 1-3″ will be possible throughout the Peninsula, with locally higher totals upwards of 3-6″ possible across portions of South Florida and the Keys.
- Mostly dry conditions will continue throughout North Florida with a chance for some spotty showers along the sea breeze this afternoon and evening.
- Warm and seasonable temperatures will continue across the state with temperatures reaching the middle to upper 80s and lower 90s.
- Heat index values will reach the middle to upper 90s across Central and South Florida this afternoon.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity looks to continue throughout the evening and into the overnight hours across South Florida and the Keys, with the heaviest activity pushing offshore by the early morning hours on Tuesday (45-85% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle 60s to middle 70s overnight throughout the state.
- Instances of patchy fog may be possible early Tuesday morning throughout portions of North Florida.
- A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected along several North Florida beaches, with a low risk anticipated elsewhere.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.