MD 1088 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF WEST/SOUTHWEST TX


Mesoscale Discussion 1088
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1153 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

Areas affected...Parts of west/southwest TX

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 030453Z - 030700Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe storms will remain
possible overnight.

DISCUSSION...A few strong storms are ongoing across parts of
west/southwest TX, within an environment characterized by moderate
buoyancy and modestly favorable deep-layer shear. Glancing ascent
associated with a shortwave trough moving across New Mexico and a
moderate low-level jet may continue to support occasional strong
storms and possibly an occasional supercell or two, with a threat of
hail and localized severe gusts. Coverage of the severe threat is
currently expected to remain isolated overnight, though
observational trends will continue to be monitored for localized
corridors of greater threat.

..Dean/Guyer.. 06/03/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

LAT...LON   32410299 34410227 35380166 35380059 33859976 33309948
            32189952 31609980 31000042 30440150 30510295 31200304
            32410299 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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