MD 1116 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 365… FOR PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
Mesoscale Discussion 1116 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 PM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025 Areas affected...parts of the Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365... Valid 050447Z - 050615Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365 continues. SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm Watch 365 is being locally extended in time for an hour or two. However, a new severe weather watch is not anticipated, with stronger storms expected to continue to wane in intensity through 1-2 AM CDT. DISCUSSION...Coldest cloud tops have recently warmed, but vigorous thunderstorm development continues. This appears generally focused along and just to the cool side of consolidating convective outflow, south of a meso-beta scale cyclonic circulation now migrating south through east of the Dalhart vicinity. Based on the latest objective analysis, peak boundary-layer instability within lee surface troughing near the Texas/New Mexico state border vicinity is tending to stabilize, and guidance suggests little substantive destabilization of an initially stable boundary layer eastward across the remainder of the Panhandle and South Plains overnight. As updraft inflow continues to become less unstable, weakening of convection appears likely to result in diminishing potential for severe hail and wind through 06-07Z. ..Kerr.. 06/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ... LAT...LON 35370162 35360013 34280131 34490348 35040224 35370162 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN