SPC MD 1167

MD 1167 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 381… FOR OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL OK

Mesoscale Discussion 1167
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...OK/TX Panhandles into western/central OK

Concerning...Tornado Watch 381...

Valid 070441Z - 070615Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381 continues.

SUMMARY...Supercells with a hail and tornado threat may continue
into the overnight, with an increase in severe-wind potential
possible with time.

DISCUSSION...Intense supercells continue to move southeastward
across the OK/TX Panhandles, with one long-lived cell currently
moving into west-central OK. Other strong to locally severe storms
are approaching central OK. Nocturnal cooling and increasingly
prominent outflow are increasing MLCINH across the region, but
favorable low-level and deep-layer shear will continue to support
supercells with potential for tornadoes and large to very large hail
into the early overnight hours. 

The influence of outflow moving northward across western/central OK
remains somewhat uncertain overnight, but in general, a
strengthening low-level jet may support some clustering and upscale
growth of convection overnight, generally near/north of a surface
boundary draped from the northern TX Panhandle into northern OK.
Should this occur, the severe-wind threat may increase with time,
along with a continued threat of some hail and localized tornado
potential with any persistent supercell structures.

..Dean.. 06/07/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...AMA...

LAT...LON   36970091 36949943 36599724 35509647 34859669 34709804
            34739978 35280164 35570193 36000215 36520240 36830238
            36970091 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

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