Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Morning showers and embedded thunderstorms have already begun to move onshore along the Big Bend and Nature Coast as the sea breeze gets an early start.
- The typical summertime pattern can be expected with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing nearly statewide throughout the day (65-75% chance of rain).
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of day bringing frequent lightning, gusty winds and torrential downpours.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding throughout most of North and West Florida for torrential downpours leading to localized flash flood concerns.
- Saharan Dry Air will move into the Space Coast and portions of South Florida limiting widespread thunderstorm coverage; however, an embedded thunderstorm or two will be possible.
- High temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s can be expected across the state.
- Heat index values, or feel-like temperatures will reach the middle 90s to triple digits (100-106-degrees) by the early afternoon hours.
- Portions of Nature Coast and West-Central Florida could see feels-like temperatures near Heat Advisory criteria this afternoon.
- Showers and thunderstorms will continue throughout the state during the evening hours before transitioning offshore or dissipating with the lack of daytime heating and the sea breeze pushing offshore.
- A few coastal showers or embedded thunderstorms may continue overnight or re-develop early Saturday morning.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s overnight throughout the state and lower 80s for the Keys.
- A moderate risk for rip currents persists for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.