WW 0417 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0417 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
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SPC – No watches are valid as of Sun Jun 15 17:26:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sun Jun 15 17:26:02 UTC 2025.
SPC MD 1300
MD 1300 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...FAR NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 1300 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Areas affected...Southwest into Southeast Virginia...far northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 151723Z - 151930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong to occasionally severe storms may produce wind damage and perhaps a tornado or two. The tornado threat will be maximized near a lifting warm front. A watch is not currently expected this afternoon, though trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows a weak mid-level disturbance moving into the
SPC Jun 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM CENTRAL/EASTERN MONTANA INTO ADJACENT AREAS OF NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH DAKOTA AND WYOMING... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail and swaths of severe/damaging gusts (some 75+ mph) are likely across portions of central/eastern Montana into northeast Wyoming and the western Dakotas this afternoon through tonight. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may occur across the central/southern