Coastal showers and thunderstorms will continue to move onshore throughout the morning hours as the typical summertime thunderstorm pattern develops throughout the day.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours along the sea breeze (60-80% chance of rain).
Locally embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day, bringing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts, small hail and heavy downpours.
Intense rainfall rates and slow-moving thunderstorms could lead to instances of flash flooding and ponding of water across most of North and Central Florida, especially along the Gulf Coast – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding.
Widespread rainfall totals of 1-3″ are anticipated, with locally higher totals upwards of 4-7″ possible.
Warm and muggy conditions can be expected throughout the state with high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to lower triple digits (100-105-degrees).
Inland showers and thunderstorms will dissipate and drift offshore overnight; however, coastal showers and thunderstorms along the Big Bend and Gulf Coast will linger overnight and into the predawn hours (45-75% chance of rain).
Low temperatures will remain in the 70s to lower 80s overnight statewide.
A moderate to high risk for rip currentspersists along the Panhandle due to onshore winds and locally elevated surf. Several Atlantic Coast beaches will also continue to see a moderate risk for rip currents.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring:
Tropical Depression Two: As of 8:00 AM EDT, Tropical Depression Two is located about 65 miles north of Veracruz, Mexico and moving west-northwestward at 9 mph. A turn toward the northwest is expected later today. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico later today or tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some slight additional strengthening is possible before the system reaches the coast of eastern Mexico. This system poses no direct threat to Florida.
Southeastern U.S. Coastline: Towards the end of this week into next weekend, an area of low pressure could develop from a remnant frontal boundary near or along the southeastern U.S. Atlantic and or Gulf coasts. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as it drifts just off the U.S. coastline. This system poses no direct threat to Florida over the next 5-7 days; however, this system could bring locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds and an increased rip current risk along the Gulf or Atlantic Coast later this week and will continue to be monitored closely.
*Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0%.
*Formation chance through 7 days…low…20%.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.