Small Craft Advisory issued July 1 at 2:32AM EDT until July 2 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ

MD 1529 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES Mesoscale Discussion 1529 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025 Areas affected...the Mid-Atlantic States Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 011548Z - 011745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...An increasing damaging wind threat and Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance are expected this afternoon DISCUSSION...Convection has been slowly building across the central Appalachians, ahead of a low-amplitude shortwave trough that is progressing east across the Upper OH Valley. While there is some near-term uncertainty of how quickly this initial activity will strengthen amid weak

MD 1530 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND Mesoscale Discussion 1530 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025 Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 011628Z - 011830Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...An isolated damaging wind threat from strong gusts is anticipated this afternoon across parts of the Northeast into southern New England. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is possible if a more concentrated corridor of damaging winds becomes apparent. DISCUSSION...To the north of the favored region for scattered damaging winds

MD 1531 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST Mesoscale Discussion 1531 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1200 PM CDT Tue Jul 01 2025 Areas affected...parts of the Southeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011700Z - 011900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong gusts, from predominately wet microbursts with slow-moving widespread thunderstorms, may produce isolated damaging winds through the rest of the afternoon. DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms are underway well to the south of the primary shortwave impulse moving east across the Upper OH Valley. With enhancement from a minor MCV near the middle TN/central KY border, guidance suggests