Abundant moisture ahead of an approaching cold front will continue to lead to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the state (60-90% chance of rain).
A large cluster of showers and thunderstorms will remain offshore over the gulf waters, but isolated coastal showers and thunderstorms will be possible along the Gulf Coast throughout the morning hours.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breeze as it moves inland and collides with one another during the peak heating hours of the day.
Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, bringing frequent lightning, gusty winds gusts (45-60 mph), instances of hail and intense downpours locally.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding throughout the Panhandle, along the West Coast and into South Florida due to repeated rounds of heavy downpours from shower and thunderstorm activity.
Elevated cloud cover and rain chances will keep high temperatures in the middle to upper 80s across North Florida, while the rest of the state can expect high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Heat index values will reach the lower to middle 90s across North Florida, but upper 90s to lower 100s throughout Central and South Florida.
Showers and thunderstorms look to continue throughout the overnight hours off and on across much of the Gulf and West Coast or along the adjacent coastal waters (30-55% chance of rain).
Low temperatures will remain in the 70s and lower 80s.
A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists along the Florida Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor:
A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters off the southeast U.S., over Florida or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low moves little. Formation chances still remain low over the next 48 hours (near 0%) and 7 days (30%). Regardless of development, increase shower and thunderstorm activity along the Panhandle and Gulf Coast can be anticipated later this week and heading into the weekend.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.