SPC Dec 24, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 PM CST Mon Dec 23 2024 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...Discussion... Little lightning activity is ongoing this evening across the CONUS, with a few flashes noted just off the northern CA Coast earlier. Weak levels of elevated instability ahead of the primary upper trough may support sporadic flashes through tonight, mainly over northern CA. A greater chance of thunderstorms will occur over parts of OK and
SPC Dec 23, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656 PM CST Sun Dec 22 2024 Valid 230100Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United States through tonight. ...Synopsis... An upper trough currently exists along the coastal Pacific Northwest this evening, and height rises will occur tonight as the wave moves northeastward across OR and WA. In the near term, a few thunderstorms will remain possible over coastal northern CA, and farther north across western WA beneath the cooler air aloft. Most of the
SPC Dec 22, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 PM CST Sat Dec 21 2024 Valid 220100Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected across the USA through tomorrow morning. The minimal thunderstorm threat has ended over parts of the Pacific Northwest as rapid warming aloft is underway behind a compact shortwave trough. Instability is not expected to materialize downstream into ID and MT, and as such all thunderstorm probabilities have been removed. Elsewhere, high pressure over the East and a dry air mass over land will maintain stable
SPC Dec 21, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 PM CST Fri Dec 20 2024 Valid 210100Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the northern California coast early morning Saturday. ...Northern CA coast... An amplified upper trough will move northeast and approach the Pacific Northwest coast through 12Z Saturday. This will yield a pronounced low-level warm conveyor to overspread the adjacent offshore waters. This forcing for ascent in conjunction with an ample buoyancy plume has supported scattered to widespread thunderstorms around 500-600 miles offshore. This buoyancy
SPC Dec 20, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 PM CST Thu Dec 19 2024 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ..Grams.. 12/20/2024 Read more
SPC Dec 19, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0646 PM CST Wed Dec 18 2024 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will largely diminish across the Southeast tonight. ...Southeast... Isolated thunderstorms persist across parts of the Carolinas into the FL Panhandle, and separately over the south FL Peninsula. Within a weakly buoyant warm-moist sector ahead of this activity, overall convective potential will generally diminish. This will occur more rapidly overnight as large-scale ascent weakens/shifts off the South Atlantic Coast. Thunderstorms will be relegated to the Gulf Stream during
SPC Dec 5, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0657 PM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms remain possible through tonight from eastern Texas to the ArkLaMiss. Severe thunderstorms remain unlikely. ...Eastern TX into LA... A few elevated thunderstorms persist this evening over east TX, and primarily north of the warm front. Very little warm sector remains over land, but a small wedge of upper 60s F dewpoints does exist with apex near Liberty, TX. Just to the east, Beaumont is north of
SPC Dec 4, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0623 PM CST Tue Dec 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms will be possible through tonight along the lower/middle Texas Coast into central Texas, but severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Discussion... An upper high will remain situated over the Pacific Northwest, with a large-scale upper trough from Northern Plains/Great Lakes to the East Coast. A low-latitude wave will move across the Gulf of CA, with modest midlevel flow around 40 kt nosing into southwestern TX by 12Z
SPC Dec 3, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0628 PM CST Mon Dec 02 2024 Valid 030100Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Threat for lightning is limited tonight. ...01z Update... Notable mid-level short-wave trough is digging southeast across the OH Valley early this evening. Seasonally cool, lower/mid- tropospheric profiles are resulting in steep lapse rates in the lowest 3-4km across much of the Great Lakes. While this is proving favorable for lake convection, lightning within the deeper, most robust updrafts has been limited. While a few strikes can not be ruled
SPC Nov 28, 2024 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0700 PM CST Wed Nov 27 2024 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible late tonight into early Thanksgiving morning over eastern Mississippi, central and northern Alabama, parts of northern Georgia, and the western/central Florida Panhandle. ...01 Update... An upper-level trough currently in the central/southern Plains will continue to progress eastward this evening into Thursday morning. A surface low now in the Mid-South will also deepen