Tag: 11,

Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 112000Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorm potential will continue this afternoon and evening from parts of north Florida and far southeast Georgia to the eastern Carolinas and far southeast Virginia. ...Discussion... The ongoing forecast continues to reflect the evolving convective scenario across parts of the southeastern CONUS. Within the broader area of convection across this region, the strongest storms
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Upper MS Valley/Great Lakes... A mid-level shortwave trough across the northern Plains will amplify as it moves into the Upper Midwest on Sunday. At the surface, an area of low pressure will move generally from the central Plains into the northern Great Lakes. A cold front will extend from this surface low south and then southwest to the
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHERN WYOMING AND SOUTHEAST MONTANA TO THE BLACK HILLS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe gusts are possible from the Big Horns to the Black Hills during the late afternoon to mid-evening Saturday. ...Southeast Montana/northeast Wyoming to the Black Hills... A mid-level shortwave trough across the Pacific Northwest/southern British Columbia will advance east through the day Saturday. Height falls across northern Wyoming and southeast Montana will lead to strengthening
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0330 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 141200Z - 191200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...D4/Monday... Further amplification of a broadening mid/upper-level trough and attendant surface cyclone is expected across the Upper Great Lakes to the southern ON/QC border area. Poleward moisture quality from the western Gulf will remain sub-optimal, but will continue to improve beneath a lobe of the southern Great Plains EML. The northeast extent of weak surface buoyancy should overspread the OH Valley by Monday afternoon. This portion of the front will coincide with robust 700-500 mb
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0322 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Sunday or Sunday night. ...Upper MS Valley/Great Lakes... A shortwave trough over the northern High Plains on Sunday morning is expected to amplify as it moves east into the northern Upper Midwest. This will maintain a deep surface cyclone from the central Great Plains into the Upper Great Lakes. Guidance has above-average spread across latest runs and
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST WY/SOUTHEAST MT/WESTERN SD... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe gusts to 65 mph are possible from the Big Horns to the Black Hills during the late afternoon to mid-evening Saturday. ...Big Horns to the Black Hills... A shortwave trough over WA/southern BC at 12Z Saturday will progress across the northern Rockies and MT. Mid-level height falls will overspread the northern High Plains during peak diurnal
Official

SPC Apr 11, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1224 AM CDT Fri Apr 11 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN CAROLINAS...SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to locally severe thunderstorms are possible from the eastern Carolinas into southeast Virginia and across far southeast Georgia and northern Florida. ...Eastern Carolinas/Southeast Virginia/Southeast Georgia/Northern Florida... At mid-levels, a trough will move eastward across the eastern U.S. today, as a jet streak rounds the base of the system. At the surface, a
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 11, 2025
Official

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 11, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level:  Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Instances of fog  this morning throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise. After a few active weather days, mostly sunny and dry conditions return across the Sunshine State as high pressure settles in over the Gulf Coast states (near 0% chance of rain). Lingering breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph  will continue throughout the day across the Peninsula, especially the eastern Peninsula. Much drier conditions returning will allow for relative humidity values to fall near
Official

SPC Mar 11, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0653 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025 Valid 111300Z - 121200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across far southern California and into Arizona today into tonight. Severe storms are not expected. ...Discussion... A potent mid to upper-level low west of southern CA will move east and evolve into an open trough and reach the AZ-NM/Sonora-Chihuahua border vicinity by early Wednesday morning. Isolated to widely scattered showers associated with the cold core will spread east during the day from southern CA
Official

SPC Mar 11, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Mon Mar 10 2025 Valid 110100Z - 111200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms have shifted offshore over south Florida, and will gradually do so over eastern North Carolina as well. Inland severe weather is not expected. ...Discussion... An upper low now centered over the lower Savannah River Valley will continue moving eastward this evening, eventually moving offshore/over the Gulf Stream. As this occurs, a surface low just offshore of the Carolina Coast will likewise shift northeastward. A cold front trailing