SPC MD 1284
MD 1284 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 1284 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1116 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Areas affected...East-central Oklahoma into west-central Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 141616Z - 141815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated damaging winds are possible with a cluster of storms moving towards east-central/southeast Oklahoma. Convective trends in storm organization will need to be monitored. DISCUSSION...As the low-level jet has diminished in intensity this morning, convection in northeast Oklahoma has had outflow outpace the stronger updrafts. While the 12Z observed sounding from Little Rock showed