SPC Jun 19, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across much of the Mid-Atlantic region today, and to a lesser extent into the Carolinas and over portions of New England. Severe/damaging wind gusts are the primary concern. An isolated large hail threat should also develop across parts of the northern
SPC Jun 18, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO SOUTHERN/EASTERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY...INDIANA...WESTERN OHIO...AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today from parts of southern Missouri northeastward to the southern Great Lakes. Scattered to numerous damaging winds, isolated large hail, and a few tornadoes all appear possible. Strong to severe thunderstorms may also develop across parts of the southern Plains, northern Plains/Upper Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic. ...Mid Mississippi/Ohio Valleys
SPC Jun 17, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0944 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Valid 171300Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing numerous to widespread damaging winds, scattered large hail (isolated 2+ inches), and a few tornadoes are expected today across parts of the central/southern Plains and lower/mid Missouri Valley. The greatest threat for destructive gusts up to 70-100 mph is forecast across portions of Kansas and northern Oklahoma. ...Central/Southern Plains into the Lower/Mid Missouri
SPC Jun 16, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing severe/damaging gusts, large to very large hail, and a few tornadoes are forecast today across parts of the northern/central Plains into the Upper Mississippi Valley. ...Upper Mississippi Valley... With ongoing thunderstorms across parts of MN this morning, confidence is lower than usual regarding severe potential and convective evolution later today
SPC MD 1300
MD 1300 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...FAR NORTHERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 1300 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1223 PM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Areas affected...Southwest into Southeast Virginia...far northern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 151723Z - 151930Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong to occasionally severe storms may produce wind damage and perhaps a tornado or two. The tornado threat will be maximized near a lifting warm front. A watch is not currently expected this afternoon, though trends will be monitored. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows a weak mid-level disturbance moving into the
SPC Jun 15, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail and swaths of severe/damaging gusts (some 75+ mph) are likely across portions of central/eastern Montana into northeast Wyoming and the western Dakotas this afternoon through tonight. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may occur across the central/southern Plains, and over parts of Virginia and North Carolina. ...Northern/Central Plains... Ongoing
SPC Jun 14, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025 Valid 141300Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing large hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across parts of the northern and central High Plains this afternoon and evening. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may also occur today across parts of the southern Plains into the Ozarks, and over portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic. ...Northern/Central Plains into the Upper
SPC Jun 12, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0741 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR PARTS OF NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered areas of strong thunderstorm development are possible today into tonight, accompanied by potential for severe hail and wind across parts of the Great Plains, the Upper Midwest, the Texas coastal plains into lower Mississippi Valley and a small portion of the northern Mid Atlantic. ...NE/SD... Morning water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough
SPC Jun 5, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025 Valid 051300Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM FAR SOUTHEAST NM INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...AND FROM FAR SOUTHEAST CO INTO SOUTHWEST KS AND THE OK PANHANDLE.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across the High Plains from southwestern Kansas into west Texas. A few tornadoes, large to isolated very large hail, and severe gusts are possible. ...Southern High Plains... A modest MCS has persisted through the early morning, moving from the TX
SPC Jun 4, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0741 AM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TX PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible later this afternoon into the evening across portions of the southern High Plains. Hail and wind are the primary concerns. Locally damaging winds may accompany convection that develops from the lower Great Lakes into eastern Texas. ...Synopsis... Upper troughing that currently extends across much of the western and central CONUS is forecast