Tag: 1300

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0636 AM CST Thu Dec 19 2024 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... The upper-tropospheric pattern is evolving back to an eastern mean trough and western ridge for a few days, as a series of shortwave troughs dig southeastward from the northern/central Plains and upstream parts of western/central Canada. Low-level cold frontal passage related to the eastern troughing will render the airmass east of the Rockies too dry and/or stable for thunderstorms over land for

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Wed Dec 18 2024 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado are possible into early afternoon across parts of the Tennessee Valley region. ...Synopsis... A continuing progressive pattern aloft will be dominated by two main shortwave troughs: a trailing perturbation now over the coastal Pacific Northwest, and a positively tilted one apparent in moisture- channel imagery near a DBQ-STJ-P28-DHT axis. The

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0624 AM CST Mon Dec 16 2024 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis/Discussion... A progressive mid/upper-level pattern will persist, with the most important feature being a trough now apparent in moisture-channel imagery from a low over southeastern MB, across western MN, eastern NE, central KS, and the TX Panhandle. The main/northern part of this trough is forecast to weaken and move across the Upper Great Lakes today. A weaker, positively tilted, basal vorticity

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0624 AM CST Sun Dec 15 2024 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS TO THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated hail near severe limits is possible tonight from portions of north Texas to the Ozarks. ...Synopsis... In mid/upper levels, a low-amplitude longwave pattern will remain in place over the CONUS, with progressive shortwave to synoptic troughs traversing the prevailing westerlies. The leading trough -- currently anchored by a closed low near the northern IL/IN border --

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0655 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051300Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Discussion... An upper trough will continue to shift quickly east-northeastward today over the Lower Great Lakes and Northeast, with a secondary speed max/clipper-type wave spreading southeastward over Manitoba/northern Ontario toward the Upper Great Lakes tonight. Over the Southwest, an upper low will remain quasi-stationary over the southern Arizona and northwest Mexico vicinity. Along the middle Gulf Coast, a few isolated elevated

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0658 AM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected from North/East Texas to the ArkLaMiss today and tonight. Severe thunderstorms are not currently expected. ...East/Southeast Texas to southwest Louisiana... Widely scattered elevated thunderstorms have developed through the early morning hours across east-central/parts of North Texas, with persistent convection also off the coast of South Texas near a weak surface wave, and into the maritime warm sector where a narrow zone of near 70F/lower

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0659 AM CST Tue Dec 03 2024 Valid 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible along the south Texas Coast, but severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Discussion including South Texas... A persistent longwave trough over the eastern CONUS will be reinforced by an amplifying and southeastward-digging upper trough over the Canadian Prairies toward the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes through tonight. A continued prevalence of surface high pressure and cool/stable continental trajectories will considerably limit and spatially confine thunderstorm