Tag: 1300

Official

SPC May 21, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0718 AM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE OZARKS TO MID-SOUTH AND FAR EASTERN NC... ...SUMMARY... The most likely corridors for severe storms are across parts of far eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the Ozarks into the Mid-South this evening. ...Eastern NC and southern VA... Morning surface analysis places a low over the Piedmont with a reservoir of lower 70s dewpoints over the coastal plain of eastern NC to the south
Official

SPC May 20, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 AM CDT Tue May 20 2025 Valid 201300Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MID/DEEP SOUTH TO TN VALLEY AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are expected today through this evening, centered on the Mid/Deep South, Tennessee/Lower Ohio Valleys, and Cumberland Plateau. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, along with scattered to widespread damaging winds, and large to isolated significant severe hail will be possible. ...Mid/Deep South to the TN/Lower OH Valleys and Cumberland Plateau... Water-vapor
Official

SPC May 19, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0751 AM CDT Mon May 19 2025 Valid 191300Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FAR NORTH TEXAS...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND THE OZARKS... ...SUMMARY... Significant severe weather is likely from the central/southern Plains into the the Ozarks today into tonight. All severe weather hazards are expected, to include tornadoes (some potentially strong to intense), very large hail, and severe winds. ... Synopsis ... A large, amplified trough over the Rockies will shift slowly eastward into the Plains today.
Official

SPC May 18, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 AM CDT Sun May 18 2025 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS INTO FAR NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND PARTS OF ALABAMA AND GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards are expected later today across portions of the central and southern Plains. Several strong to intense tornadoes are possible. ...Central/Southern Plains... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a potent
Official

SPC May 17, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025 Valid 171300Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms producing large to very large hail, damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes are expected across the southern Plains. Additional severe storms are possible across the Northeast. ...Southern Plains Region... Water vapor imagery depicts a pronounced southern stream upper-level
Official

SPC May 16, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Valid 161300Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA...SOUTHWEST OHIO...NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...AND NORTHEAST ARKANSAS... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms is likely this afternoon into tonight across parts of the mid Mississippi, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. This will include intense supercells associated with tornadoes, large hail and wind damage. Several strong tornadoes are expected, and a long-track high-end tornado will be possible.
Official

SPC May 15, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0752 AM CDT Thu May 15 2025 Valid 151300Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA...MUCH OF WISCONSIN...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN...NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA AND NORTHWEST OHIO... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected across parts of the upper Mississippi River Valley and Great Lakes this afternoon and evening. Tornadoes, some of which could be strong, and very large hail and damaging winds will be
Official

SPC May 14, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 AM CDT Wed May 14 2025 Valid 141300Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are possible mainly over parts of the Dakotas and Nebraska this afternoon and evening, and far western Iowa and southwest Minnesota overnight. A few strong to severe storms may occur from parts of the southern Appalachians to the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic this afternoon. ...Northern/Central Plains... Surface low pressure will deepen in the
Official

SPC May 13, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750 AM CDT Tue May 13 2025 Valid 131300Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC...NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS...AND DEEP SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible: 1) today in vicinity of Virginia-North Carolina-West Virginia, 2) during the late afternoon to mid-evening over a portion of the Deep South, and 3) this evening into early morning Wednesday in parts of the northern Great Plains. ...NC/VA/WV vicinity... The upper-level low centered near the mid-Mississippi Valley will continue to lift
Official

SPC May 12, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0741 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Southeast today, where a tornado or two, localized damaging winds, and hail could occur. Isolated severe wind gusts are also possible in northeast Montana to northwest North Dakota around early evening. ...Southeast States... The persistent vertically stacked mid/upper low that has been nearly stationary over the Sabine Valley/Lower Mississippi