SPC Apr 14, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 142000Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA AND VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms ongoing this afternoon will continue through early tonight from the Upper Ohio Valley eastward to the Mid-Atlantic. Large hail, severe wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes are likely. ...20z Update OH Valley and Appalachians... Afternoon satellite imagery shows several areas of convection developing beneath a broad upper low over parts of the Midwest, Great
SPC Apr 14, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Wednesday night. ...Synopsis... A broad area of isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across portions of the West into the northern Rockies and central Plains. This is in response to forcing for ascent increasing with a broad area of enhanced mid-level flow rounding the western US trough. Largely, thunderstorms will be disorganized and sub-severe, owing to poor moisture and weak shear profiles.
SPC Apr 14, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 171200Z - 221200Z ...DISCUSSION... Active severe weather pattern expected late week into the weekend. ...D4/Thursday... A longwave trough should become clearly anchored over the West and consist of multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Peak surface cyclone amplitude is largely progged over western KS on Thursday afternoon, with a dryline arcing across eastern KS into the southern Great Plains. Another day of modifying moisture return northward from the western Gulf should yield at least moderate buoyancy ahead of the dryline. A
SPC Apr 14, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Wednesday night. ...West to Central States... A broad swath of predominately isolated thunder is anticipated starting Wednesday afternoon and persisting into early morning Thursday. A northern-stream shortwave trough is expected to dig southward from the Canadian Rockies into the northern Intermountain West. A southern-stream, lower-amplitude shortwave trough should drift towards the southern CA coast. Downstream lee cyclogenesis should occur over the central
SPC Apr 14, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night. ...Northeast... Sporadic, low-topped thunderstorms may develop towards midday through the afternoon within a post-frontal regime as 500-mb temperatures fall at/below -28 C. This should occur to the west of an intense mid-level jet that will progress quickly across the Mid-Atlantic States and off the coast by evening. While the boundary layer will be drying, scant buoyancy may persist
SPC Apr 14, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley eastward to the Mid-Atlantic. Large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado threat will be possible. ...Lower Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... At mid-levels, a positively-tilted trough will move through the northern Plains as a low moves northeastward into Ontario.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 14, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions statewide today under lingering high pressure (near 0-10% chance of rain). High temperatures in the middle 70s to middle 80s statewide. Southerly winds to increase along the Florida Panhandle today, reaching near 5-15 mph with gusts upwards of 15-25 mph ; winds near 5-10 mph with gusts near 10-15 mph elsewhere. Lingering dry air along portions of the Peninsula will continue to create sensitive wildfire conditions this afternoon. Moderate risk for rip currents along the Florida Panhandle and East Coast; likely increasing to a
SPC Mar 14, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130 AM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 141630Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND MID-SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe thunderstorms is likely this afternoon through tonight across parts of the Lower/Mid Mississippi Valley and portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid-South. Numerous tornadoes, several of which could be strong, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to
SPC Mar 14, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0720 AM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Valid 141300Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AND MID SOUTH... ...SUMMARY... A regional outbreak of severe storms is likely across the Mid-Mississippi Valley to the Lower-Mississippi Valley, including portions of the Lower Ohio Valley and Mid South. Tornadoes, several of which could be strong, widespread severe gusts ranging from 60 to 100 mph, and scattered large hail up to baseball size will
SPC Mar 14, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 PM CDT Thu Mar 13 2025 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe threat appears minimal the rest of tonight, thus general thunderstorms are the primary risk. ...01z Update... Early-evening satellite imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave trough along the GA/SC border, shifting east-southeast in line with earlier model guidance. Primary corridor of large-scale ascent is spreading quickly offshore away from the modest instability that currently resides across the central Gulf States region. While a brief gust or two may be