SPC Apr 15, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... An active severe weather pattern expected through at least this weekend, before predictability diminishes early next week. ...D4/Friday... Guidance remains consistent with a broad swath of strong mid-level southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Great Lakes, downstream of a longwave trough from northern ON to the Lower CO Valley. This will overlap a similarly oriented surface front. In response to increasing mid-level height falls, a surface cyclone should track across the central Great
SPC Apr 15, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN IA/NORTHERN MO/EASTERN NE... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, with a primary threat of large hail, are possible on Thursday evening/night, centered on eastern Nebraska, northern Missouri, and Iowa. ...Synopsis... A longwave trough, consisting of multiple embedded shortwave impulses, will become established from the southern Prairie Provinces across the West to off the Baja CA coast. Peak surface cyclone amplitude is expected over western KS on Thursday
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 15, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions statewide through the afternoon and along the Peninsula and Keys this evening and tonight (near 0-20% chance of rain). A broken squall line of severe thunderstorms ( Enhanced to Moderate Risk for Severe Weather – level 3-4 of 5 ) is forecast to push across the Florida Panhandle from west to east tonight into Sunday morning along and ahead of a cold front (60-near 100% chance of rain). Discrete supercell activity may be possible ahead of the primary squall line. Significant severe weather-related
SPC Mar 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA... ...SUMMARY... A tornado outbreak is expected today across the central Gulf Coast States and Deep South into the Tennessee Valley. Numerous significant tornadoes, some of which should be long-track and potentially violent, are expected this afternoon and evening. The most dangerous tornado threat will begin across eastern Louisiana and Mississippi through this afternoon, spread across Alabama this afternoon into the
SPC Feb 15, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Lightning potential will remain minimal across the U.S. on Monday. ...Discussion... Weakly cyclonic flow aloft will prevail across most of the U.S. Monday. At the surface, cold high pressure will continue ridging southeastward out of the Canadian Prairie, resulting in stable conditions and a general lack of thunder potential. A flash or two cannot be ruled out across portions of the West, as a short-wave trough shifts southeastward out
SPC Feb 15, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1124 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA...NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Locally strong wind gusts are possible Sunday morning, particularly across portions of the Southeast but possibly as far north as the Mid-Atlantic region. ...Synopsis... A vigorous/fast-moving short-wave trough -- embedded in broader cyclonic flow aloft -- will move quickly eastward across the eastern quarter of the U.S. Sunday. As this feature reaches the Atlantic
SPC Feb 15, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1042 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 Valid 151630Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MID-SOUTH...AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected from parts of far east Texas into much of the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast this afternoon through the overnight. Several tornadoes and scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts should be the primary threats. A few strong tornadoes are also possible. ...Synopsis... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a potent mid-level trough over the
SPC Feb 15, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MID-SOUTH...AND CENTRAL GULF STATES... ...SUMMARY... Severe weather is expected from East Texas and Mid-South into much of the Southeast. Scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes are the primary threats. Storms are expected from late afternoon through the overnight hours. ...Discussion... Strong 500mb jet is currently digging southeast across the lower CO River Valley. This feature is
Biden-Harris Administration, NOAA invest $15 million to help protect Western U.S. communities from wildfire
The Department of Commerce and NOAA announced today that approximately $15 million has been provided through the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to construct and deploy a new suite of fire weather observing systems in high-risk locations in the Western United States to support wildfire prediction, detection and monitoring. The investments support four distinct but related components of a regional fire weather observing system that relies on different technologies and approaches with the goal of improving wildfire prediction, detection and monitoring from the regional to local scales. “Catastrophic wildfires threaten the lives and livelihoods of many communities across the country, which is
Photo and Video Chronology — January 15, 2025 — Kīlauea summit eruption episode 4
Around 9:15 a.m. HST this morning, January 15, 2025, the eruption of Kīlauea within Kaluapele (summit caldera) resumed. Lava fountains are active at two vents in the west part of the caldera. Panorama image of the north and south vents in the west portion of Kīlauea caldera are erupting lava fountains during the afternoon of January 15, 2025. Lava fountains are feeding lava flows that are moving in an eastward direction on the caldera floor. USGS photo by M. Patrick. Episode 4 of the ongoing Kīlauea summit eruption began this morning, January 15, 2025. Lava fountains resumed erupting from the