SPC Jan 2, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Thu Jan 02 2025 Valid 021630Z - 031200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... In the mid levels, The general pattern is forecast to slowly amplify as weak troughing with broad cyclonic flow will persist over the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS. At the same time, ridging will intensify over the West. This will favor increasingly strong (80-100 kts) northwesterly flow over the central US. As a result, strong high pressure at the surface is expected
SPC Jan 1, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1021 AM CST Wed Jan 01 2025 Valid 011630Z - 021200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. Fast zonal flow is present today over most of the CONUS, with dry and stable conditions prevailing in most areas. Isolated lightning strikes remain possible along the coast of ME for another couple of hours within a belt of strong onshore flow. This threat should end by 21z. Elsewhere, no thunderstorms are forecast for today. ..Hart/Karstens.. 01/01/2025 Read more
SPC Dec 31, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Tue Dec 31 2024 Valid 311630Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION.... ...SUMMARY... Damaging to isolated marginally severe gusts, isolated large hail, and a brief tornado are possible today from the central Appalachians to parts of the Mid-Atlantic. ...KY to the Mid Atlantic Region... A potent, negatively-tilted shortwave trough will move from the upper OH Valley into NY/PA today, with an associated 80-100 knot mid-level speed
SPC Dec 30, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1022 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2024 Valid 301630Z - 311200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...OH Valley tonight... An 80-100 knot mid-level jet max will move quickly eastward across the central Plains today, and into the mid MS Valley tonight. Strong cyclogenesis will occur in advance of this system over MO/IL, with the primary baroclinic zone sweeping across AR into KY/TN. Strengthening southerly low-level winds in the warm sector of the deepening low will result in
SPC Dec 29, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon over the central and eastern Carolinas into southern Virginia. More-isolated severe storms may occur across parts of the central Appalachians and Ohio Valley, and over southernmost Florida. ...Carolinas... A large and negatively-tilted shortwave trough is rotating northeastward across the TN/OH Valleys today, with intense low and mid-level wind fields
SPC Dec 28, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS...LOUISIANA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes (some strong with at least EF2 damage possible), severe gusts and hail are expected today into tonight. The threat area will shift eastward from parts of north and central Texas early, across east Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley today, then over the Tennessee Valley, parts of Georgia, and the
SPC Dec 27, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1024 AM CST Fri Dec 27 2024 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM SOUTHEAST LA/MS INTO SOUTHWEST AL AND THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms could occur today across parts of the central Gulf Coast States. ...Central Gulf Coast Region... A compact negative-tilted shortwave trough that has provided occasionally strong thunderstorms to parts of southern MS/southeast LA is tracking away from the Gulf Coast region. Low-level winds are
SPC Dec 26, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CST Thu Dec 26 2024 Valid 261630Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST TX... ...SUMMARY... Several tornadoes, including a strong (potentially EF2+) tornado or two, will be possible this afternoon/evening across southeast Texas. Damaging gusts of 60-70 mph and large hail of 1-1.75" in diameter will also be possible from east Texas this afternoon into Louisiana, southern Arkansas and far west central Mississippi overnight. ...East TX/LA/southern AR through tonight... Elevated convection has already formed over
SPC Dec 10, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1019 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 101630Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to severe thunderstorms may affect portions of central Alabama into west-central Georgia through this evening. ...AL/GA... The subtropical jet extends across the Gulf Coast region today, with several subtle shortwave troughs suggested in water vapor imagery that will affect parts of FL/AL/GA. Ample low-level moisture is present across central/southern AL/GA with dewpoints in
SPC Dec 9, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1008 AM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 091630Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States today and tonight. Isolated strong to severe storms may affect parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi. ...LA/MS... Morning water vapor imagery shows a low-amplitude shortwave trough moving across central TX. This feature will track into the lower MS valley this