Tag: 1630

Official

SPC Dec 8, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1013 AM CST Sun Dec 08 2024 Valid 081630Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Lower MS Valley... A weak upper low is tracking northeastward across the TX Panhandle today, with the subtropical mid-level jet extending from northern Mexico into the lower MS Valley. Broad large-scale ascent has resulted in periodic episodes of thunderstorms across TX overnight and this morning. This regime is expected to shift eastward today into more of AR/LA and eventually the TN
Official

SPC Dec 7, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1029 AM CST Sat Dec 07 2024 Valid 071630Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...TX... Broad southwest flow aloft will maintain mid-level warm/moist advection and persistent showers and isolated thunderstorms through the forecast period. It appears the highest probability of lightning will be this afternoon, with decreasing coverage after dark. No severe storms are expected. ...Northwest WA... A few thunderstorms are possible this evening and tonight over northwest WA as a progressive upper trough and
Official

SPC Dec 6, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1109 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 061630Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected. Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible today from southeast Arizona and southern New Mexico to East Texas. ...AZ/NM/TX... A weak upper low is centered over southeast AZ this morning, with the subtropical upper jet extending from northern Mexico into TX. Weak large-scale ascent beneath the jet, coupled with increasing low-level warm/moist advection will yield gradually increasing risk of showers and a few widely scattered
Official

SPC Dec 5, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1008 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 051630Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis... A broad and deep upper trough is present today over the eastern CONUS, with widespread stable conditions. The only areas with some risk of thunderstorms will be along the Gulf Coast this afternoon, and in vicinity of southern NM/southwest TX later tonight. In both areas, weak instability will preclude a concern for severe storms. ..Hart/Wendt.. 12/05/2024 Read more
Official

SPC Dec 4, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1023 AM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 041630Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are expected from North/East Texas to the ArkLaMiss today and tonight. Severe thunderstorms are not currently expected. ...Synopsis... Scattered thunderstorms continue in East Texas and will spread into the ArkLaMiss through the remainder of today/tonight. Ahead of a very weak frontal wave along the middle Texas coast, a narrow zone of surface dewpoints in upper 60s to perhaps low 70s F will have some potential to
Official

SPC Nov 29, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CST Fri Nov 29 2024 Valid 291630Z - 301200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Broadly cyclonic flow aloft will persist over the eastern U.S. today. Surface high pressure over the southern Plains/Southeast and offshore low-level flow trajectories over the Gulf and western Atlantic are expected to generally limit thunderstorm potential across the CONUS through the period, with a couple of exceptions. A front will continue southward over the FL Peninsula, with limited
Official

SPC Nov 28, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1010 AM CST Thu Nov 28 2024 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST US... ...SUMMARY... A few strong to potentially severe thunderstorms are possible today across parts of the Southeast. ...Southeast States... Fast westerly flow aloft is present across the eastern CONUS, with a progressive shortwave trough crossing the central/northern Appalachians. The associated cold front currently extends from VA into parts of NC/SC/GA/AL to the FL panhandle. Thunderstorms along/ahead of the front
Official

SPC Nov 24, 2024 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1004 AM CST Sun Nov 24 2024 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are unlikely through tonight. ...Pacific Northwest... Recent water vapor imagery shows persistent onshore flow regime along the Pacific Northwest coast, with several small vorticity maxima embedded in the flow. Several pockets of lightning have been noted with this offshore activity, but the trend has been for rapid dissipation of lightning as activity moved ashore. This trend should continue through the day, with the risk of thunderstorms