SPC MD 169
MD 0169 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN KANSAS....WESTERN MISSOURI...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0169 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1025 AM CDT Fri Mar 14 2025 Areas affected...parts of eastern Kansas....western Missouri...northwestern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 141525Z - 141730Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...An initial round of convective development is expected to remain sub-severe as it spreads northeastward across parts of western Missouri and northwestern Arkansas through early afternoon. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity has initiated during the past few hours across parts of southeastern Kansas into northeastern Oklahoma. This is occurring within the evolving warm sector of