Tag: 1730

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107 AM CST Mon Dec 30 2024 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible from the Outer Banks into southern New England late Tuesday into early Wednesday. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Synopsis... An upper trough will pivot northeast from the Midwest toward the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast on Tuesday. A prior cold frontal passage across this region will result in limited boundary-layer moisture despite increasing low-level south/southeasterly flow ahead of a surface low. The exception will be along the immediate

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1111 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected through Friday night. ...Central States... A shortwave trough near the Four Corners will move across the southern Rockies into the central Great Plains by early Saturday. The attendant lee surface cyclone will be weak as it tracks from the Raton Mesa vicinity into eastern KS. Modified moisture return from the western Gulf is anticipated within the broad low-level warm conveyor ahead of the

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Wed Dec 11 2024 Valid 121200Z - 131200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm probabilities are negligible on Thursday. ...Discussion... A quiescent pattern for thunderstorm activity will envelop much of the CONUS tomorrow. Two areas of sub-10 percent thunderstorm probabilities remain apparent. An Arctic air mass will settle into the Upper Great Lakes. Downstream, lake-effect snow bands will persist with the most organized one expected in the lee of eastern Lake Ontario. A few lightning flashes are possible during the period of

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CST Tue Dec 10 2024 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EASTERN NC VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across many of the East Coast States. The most probable area for a few tornadoes and damaging winds is centered on eastern North Carolina during Wednesday afternoon. ...Synopsis... A longwave trough will extend from south-central Canada to the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday morning. A vigorous shortwave impulse embedded within the basal portion of the

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1048 AM CST Mon Dec 09 2024 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH AL...SOUTHWEST GA...AND THE ADJACENT FL PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and south Alabama, southwest Georgia, and the adjacent Florida Panhandle on Tuesday. ...Southeast... An upper-level trough will amplify and transition from positively tilted across the Southwest Tuesday morning to negatively tilted by early Wednesday morning across the Mississippi Valley. Persistent weak southerly flow will

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CST Sun Dec 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible from the Lower Mississippi Valley into much of the Southeast States on Monday. The probability for severe thunderstorms appears low. ...Synopsis... A mid/upper-level trough covering much of the CONUS is forecast to amplify further on Monday, as multiple shortwaves move through the large-scale trough. One shortwave trough is forecast to move quickly from the OH/TN Valley region toward the Mid Atlantic during the day, as

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1045 AM CST Sat Dec 07 2024 Valid 081200Z - 091200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are still possible from southeast Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Mid-South on Sunday. The probability for severe thunderstorms remains very low. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will rapidly eject into the Southern Plains and impinge on the TN Valley while preceding a larger upper trough that is poised to overspread the central and northern CONUS tomorrow (Sunday). The approach of the Southern Plains mid-level trough will

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Fri Dec 06 2024 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are likely across a large portion of Texas on Saturday. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... The positively tilted upper trough over the southern Rockies and northwest Mexico will shift east over the central/southern Plains on Saturday. Increasing southwesterly mid/upper flow associated with this feature will overspread much of TX toward the Lower MS Valley, aiding in northeast transport of midlevel moisture with time. At the

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1054 AM CST Thu Dec 05 2024 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from southeast New Mexico to central Texas. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... The upper low and attendant trough over AZ and northwest Mexico will slowly pivot eastward on Friday. As modestly enhanced midlevel southwesterly flow overspreads portions of the southern Rockies and TX, midlevel moisture also will increase. Steepening midlevel lapse rates will support weak elevated instability, and isolated thunderstorms are

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1117 AM CST Wed Dec 04 2024 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are possible across parts of south Texas and the central Gulf Coast. No severe thunderstorms are expected. ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough will persist across the eastern CONUS on Thursday. Meanwhile, an upper shortwave trough over the Southwest will deepen and modestly progress eastward, bringing enhanced southwesterly mid/upper flow across the southern Rockies vicinity. At the surface, a cold front will be oriented from southern AL southwestward