SPC Mar 18, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN ILLINOIS INTO WESTERN INDIANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday across parts of eastern Illinois and western Indiana from mid-afternoon to early evening. Severe gusts and hail will be the primary threats, though a couple of tornadoes are also possible. ...Synopsis... A potent mid-level trough will traverse the Plains and overspread the MS Valley, encouraging an intense surface cyclone to
SPC Mar 18, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA THROUGH SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL IOWA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated, marginally severe hail is possible by late tonight in a corridor from north central Kansas through central Iowa. ...Discussion... Much of the nation remains under the influence of one prominent belt of westerlies emanating from the northern mid-latitude Pacific. Within this regime, mid-level troughing is in the process of digging across the Intermountain
SPC Mar 18, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0739 AM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025 Valid 181300Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT FROM EASTERN NE INTO IA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated, marginally severe hail is possible late tonight from eastern Nebraska across much of Iowa. ...Eastern NE/IA late tonight and early Wednesday... In advance of a pronounced midlevel shortwave trough over UT/northern AZ this morning, a surface lee cyclone will deepen across western KS and then move to far northwest MO by early Wednesday. Moisture return in the
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 18, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: High pressure will settle in over the Sunshine State creating pleasant conditions with mostly sunny skies and a near-zero chance of rain. Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will also continue nearly statewide as relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds this afternoon (20-30%) . Compared to yesterday, winds will be slightly calmer gusting upwards of 10-15 mph, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 20 mph along portions of the East Coast, this afternoon. Red Flag conditions are not expected. Recent rainfall across the Panhandle
SPC Mar 18, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0754 PM CDT Mon Mar 17 2025 Valid 180100Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight. ...01z Update... Upper trough is advancing inland along the Pacific Coast early this evening. Isolated thunderstorms have developed beneath this trough as cold mid-level temperatures have steepened lapse rates. 00z sounding from OAK exhibited a few hundred J/kg SBCAPE, and this seems to be representative across the interior valleys. Over the next few hours nocturnal cooling should result in weaker updrafts and
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, February 18, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Brief isolated showers will be possible throughout the day across portions of East-Central and South Florida due to a stationary front just south of the Florida Keys (15-25% chance of rain). High pressure over the Mid-Atlantic states will continue to bring mostly dry conditions for the rest of the Sunshine State throughout the day creating a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover. Temperatures this afternoon will reach the 60s across North Florida, lower to middle 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to lower 80s across South
SPC Feb 18, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0428 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday. ...Discussion... In the wake of a cold front exiting the Florida Peninsula, strong surface high pressure (1040+ mb) and an Arctic air mass will settle over much of the CONUS on Thursday. Prevalent cold and stable conditions are expected to considerably limit thunderstorm potential. ..Guyer.. 02/18/2025 Read more
SPC Feb 18, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook RESENT 2 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening across parts of southeast Texas, shifting across southern Louisiana tonight. Hail should be the primary hazard, but a brief tornado and occasional severe gusts may occur along the immediate Louisiana Coast. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast remains on track. Low-level warm-air and moisture advection are already underway across
SPC Jan 18, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1112 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL FL... ...SUMMARY... A tornado and isolated damaging winds will be possible across central Florida through Sunday afternoon. ...Central FL... Within a longwave upper trough over much of the CONUS, an intense mid-level jet streak will move across parts of the Southeast and off the Mid-Atlantic coast by 12Z Monday. Primary surface cyclone will deepen as it advances off the Carolina Coastal Plain by Sunday
SPC Jan 18, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Sat Jan 18 2025 Valid 181630Z - 191200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ADJACENT PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorms may impact parts of the eastern Gulf Coast vicinity today through tonight, and pose some risk for locally damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two. ...FL Panhandle into Southern GA... Current regional radar imagery shows showers ongoing from far southwest GA into the western FL Panhandle, along an