SPC Mar 20, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1159 AM CDT Thu Mar 20 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected Friday. ...Mid-MO/MS Valleys... A compact shortwave impulse currently over the northern Rockies will progress across parts of the Mid-MO/MS Valleys Friday. Despite a dearth of low-level moisture, diurnally steepening lapse rates along with a focused corridor of moderate large-scale ascent should support a swath of isolated to scattered low-topped convection, primarily from late morning to early evening. Meager buoyancy should be adequate for
SPC Mar 20, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1110 AM CDT Thu Mar 20 2025 Valid 201630Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and northern Rockies. Severe weather is not expected. ...Eastern NC/Southeast VA... Strong heating ahead of an eastward-developing surface front will allow temperatures to continue climbing into the 70s F this afternoon. Boundary layer moisture is expected to remain modest, with surface dewpoints generally reaching the mid/upper 50s F in a narrow corridor just as the surface front
SPC Mar 20, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 AM CDT Thu Mar 20 2025 Valid 201300Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and northern Rockies. Severe weather is not expected. ...Eastern NC/southeast VA this afternoon... A midlevel trough and an associated surface cold front will progress eastward from the Appalachians to the Atlantic coast by late this evening/early tonight. Only a narrow corridor of low-level moistening is expected ahead of the front, as a result of only partial air
SPC Mar 20, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1146 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm development will be possible today in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and northern Rockies. Severe weather is not expected. ...Synopsis and Discussion... A strong upper trough will move rapidly across the eastern states today, with primary midlevel speed max sweeping across the Gulf Coast states and nosing into the Carolinas during the afternoon. Cooling aloft with this system will be substantial as a band of strong meridional flow
SPC Mar 20, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0757 PM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025 Valid 200100Z - 201200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM INDIANA INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND FAR WESTERN OHIO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible this evening mainly over Indiana, parts of Kentucky and into Tennessee. ...IN into western KY... A primary line of storms stretches from central IN into western KY and TN as of 01Z, with secondary line of storms along the IL/IN border in association with the cold front. Given the loss of
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 20, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions statewide as high pressure builds in (near 0-5% chance of rain) with a few isolated showers possible across South Florida and the Keys (5-25% chance of rain). High temperatures in the middle 40s to middle 50s along the Florida Panhandle, middle 50s to middle 60s across the Northern Peninsula, middle 60s to low 70s across Central Florida, and middle 70s to low 80s across South Florida. Winds near 10-15 mph with gusts upwards of 15-20 mph expected statewide today. Locally sensitive wildfire
SPC Feb 20, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0116 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are possible from the middle and upper Texas Coast toward the Sabine Valley Saturday evening into early Sunday. At least some risk of hail may eventually develop. ...Synopsis... A general northwest flow regime will remain from the northern Plains into the Mid Atlantic, with a southern-stream westerly flow regime from the southern Plains into the Southeast. A compact upper low is forecast to move from AZ/NM
SPC Feb 20, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2025 Valid 202000Z - 211200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight across the contiguous United States. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 02/20/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2025/ ...Synopsis... A large area of surface high pressure resides over the central and eastern United States and is currently centered over the central Great Plains. Dry/cold offshore flow into the Gulf and Atlantic will maintain an
SPC Feb 20, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2025 Valid 231200Z - 281200Z ...DISCUSSION... Isolated showers and thunderstorms may occur over parts of the western to central Gulf coast vicinity on Day 4/Sun in association with a weakening upper shortwave trough moving across the region. After a lull in precipitation potential around Days 5-6/Mon-Tue, thunderstorm potential may increase late in the forecast period. An upper ridge over the western U.S. will shift east across the Plains on Day 7/Wed before a deepening trough ejects across the Rockies to the
SPC Feb 20, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0152 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible near the middle and upper Texas coastal vicinity Saturday evening into early Sunday. ...Synopsis... An upper shortwave trough will shift east from AZ into the southern Plains on Saturday. Surface high pressure and a cool airmass will persist over the southern Plains and Gulf coast. However, increasing southwesterly midlevel flow and midlevel moistening is expected as the shortwave trough ejects eastward. Warm advection atop