Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 13th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Morning showers and embedded thunderstorms have already begun to move onshore along the Big Bend and Nature Coast as the sea breeze gets an early start. The typical summertime pattern can be expected with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing nearly statewide throughout the day (65-75% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of day bringing frequent lightning, gusty winds and torrential downpours. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level
SPC Jun 14, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0746 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Valid 140100Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS FROM SOUTHEAST MONTANA TO NORTHWEST TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across much of the High Plains from southeast Montana into northwest Texas. Hail and wind remain the primary concern. ...01z Update... Mid-level speed max is currently translating across the northern Rockies and this feature should suppress the height field across western/northern MT as the evening progresses.
SPC – No watches are valid as of Fri Jun 13 17:41:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Fri Jun 13 17:41:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Jun 13, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL MONTANA INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe storms capable of large hail and damaging wind gusts will be possible across parts of the central and northern High Plains Saturday afternoon and evening. Additional severe storms will also be possible in parts of southern and central Plains. ...Synopsis... The upper-level trough in the eastern U.S. will weaken during the day on Saturday. Ridging
SPC Jun 13, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1126 AM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Valid 131630Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MONTANA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of Montana, extending southward across portions of the central/southern High Plains. The greatest concentration of severe thunderstorms should occur across central/southern Montana, where large to very large hail, severe winds, and a couple tornadoes will be possible. ...Central/southern MT this afternoon/evening... Embedded speed maxima will
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 12th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Southeasterly winds will continue to pull moisture northward allowing for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop throughout the day (60-90% chance of rain). Daytime heating and the daily sea breeze moving inland will allow for showers and thunderstorms to develop, some of which may become locally strong to severe. Any thunderstorm may be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and torrential downpours. There is no organized risk for flash flooding; however, slow-moving thunderstorms or repeated rounds of torrential downpours could lead to
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Fri Jun 13 05:38:01 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Jun 13 05:38:01 UTC 2025.
SPC – No watches are valid as of Fri Jun 13 05:38:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Fri Jun 13 05:38:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Jun 12, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1151 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered areas of severe thunderstorm development are possible today into tonight, accompanied by potential for severe hail and wind across parts of the Great Plains, the Upper Midwest, the Texas coastal plain into the Lower Mississippi Valley, as well as a portion of the northern Mid-Atlantic. ...North-central Plains including Nebraska/South Dakota... A low-amplitude shortwave trough and associated speed max will progress
SPC – No watches are valid as of Thu Jun 12 16:56:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Thu Jun 12 16:56:02 UTC 2025.