SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Tue Apr 15 11:33:01 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue Apr 15 11:33:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 15, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Valid 181200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... An active severe weather pattern expected through at least this weekend, before predictability diminishes early next week. ...D4/Friday... Guidance remains consistent with a broad swath of strong mid-level southwesterlies from the southern High Plains to the Great Lakes, downstream of a longwave trough from northern ON to the Lower CO Valley. This will overlap a similarly oriented surface front. In response to increasing mid-level height falls, a surface cyclone should track across the central Great
SPC Apr 15, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN IA/NORTHERN MO/EASTERN NE... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms, with a primary threat of large hail, are possible on Thursday evening/night, centered on eastern Nebraska, northern Missouri, and Iowa. ...Synopsis... A longwave trough, consisting of multiple embedded shortwave impulses, will become established from the southern Prairie Provinces across the West to off the Baja CA coast. Peak surface cyclone amplitude is expected over western KS on Thursday
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, April 14th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A sunshine-filled day can be expected across the state as high pressure continues over the Gulf Coast (near-zero chance of rain). The dry air mass over the state will persist allowing for relative humidity values to fall near and below critical thresholds (20-35%) this afternoon throughout the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and interior Central Florida. Light winds and wind gusts upwards of 10-15 mph will develop throughout the day, which will remain below Red Flag conditions. Stronger wind gusts upwards of 20 mph cannot be ruled
SPC Apr 14, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0249 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 142000Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA AND VIRGINIA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms ongoing this afternoon will continue through early tonight from the Upper Ohio Valley eastward to the Mid-Atlantic. Large hail, severe wind gusts, and a couple of tornadoes are likely. ...20z Update OH Valley and Appalachians... Afternoon satellite imagery shows several areas of convection developing beneath a broad upper low over parts of the Midwest, Great
SPC Apr 14, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 PM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Wednesday night. ...Synopsis... A broad area of isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across portions of the West into the northern Rockies and central Plains. This is in response to forcing for ascent increasing with a broad area of enhanced mid-level flow rounding the western US trough. Largely, thunderstorms will be disorganized and sub-severe, owing to poor moisture and weak shear profiles.
SPC Apr 14, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 171200Z - 221200Z ...DISCUSSION... Active severe weather pattern expected late week into the weekend. ...D4/Thursday... A longwave trough should become clearly anchored over the West and consist of multiple embedded shortwave impulses. Peak surface cyclone amplitude is largely progged over western KS on Thursday afternoon, with a dryline arcing across eastern KS into the southern Great Plains. Another day of modifying moisture return northward from the western Gulf should yield at least moderate buoyancy ahead of the dryline. A
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 14 08:53:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 14 08:53:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Apr 14 08:53:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Apr 14 08:53:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 14, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through Wednesday night. ...West to Central States... A broad swath of predominately isolated thunder is anticipated starting Wednesday afternoon and persisting into early morning Thursday. A northern-stream shortwave trough is expected to dig southward from the Canadian Rockies into the northern Intermountain West. A southern-stream, lower-amplitude shortwave trough should drift towards the southern CA coast. Downstream lee cyclogenesis should occur over the central