Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 28th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Remnants of a thunderstorm complex are currently moving along the Panhandle coast, and will continue to move offshore throughout the morning hours. As the complex moves offshore, shower and thunderstorm activity will become sparse and remain limited to the sea breeze this afternoon and evening along the I-10 corridor (25-50% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the I-10 corridor as upper-level support may allow for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms late
SPC May 29, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOUTHEAST CO...NORTHEAST NM...TX/OK PANHANDLES...SOUTHERN KS...WESTERN/CENTRAL OK...AND ALSO FOR CENTRAL TX... ...SUMMARY... Strong to severe storms remain possible this evening across parts of the central and southern Plains. A more isolated severe threat may continue this evening across parts of the Southeast. ...KS/OK/TX Panhandle vicinity... Multiple clusters of storms are ongoing this evening from southeast CO/southwest KS into the TX/OK Panhandles. This convection is likely to
SPC May 28, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1237 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT FROM THE TEXAS-NEW MEXICO BORDER INTO CENTRAL TEXAS... CORRECTED FOR DAY REFERENCES ...SUMMARY... Large hail and damaging winds will be possible from the Texas-New Mexico border eastward into central Texas. ...TX late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night... A midlevel shortwave trough will move southeastward over the lower MO Valley/Ozarks, as an associated surface cold front likewise moves across
SPC – No watches are valid as of Wed May 28 17:41:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Wed May 28 17:41:02 UTC 2025.
SPC May 28, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1134 AM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 281630Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO GULF COAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of producing large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes should occur today across parts of the southern/central Plains. Isolated wind damage may occur across portions of the Gulf Coast and Southeast. ...Eastern Colorado/Kansas to western Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles... A closed upper low over the northern Plains and Upper Midwest
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 27, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A typical summertime pattern can be expected as showers and thunderstorms will develop along the sea breeze this afternoon, especially throughout the interior Peninsula (50-70% chance of rain). Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the afternoon and evening. Slightly drier conditions across North Florida will limit shower and thunderstorm coverage, but a few showers and thunderstorms along the sea breeze may be possible. A thunderstorm complex will travel along the Gulf Coast and towards the Florida Panhandle throughout the afternoon and evening, bringing
SPC May 28, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1216 AM CDT Wed May 28 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES.... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms capable of very large hail, damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes are possible today across parts of the central and southern Plains. Isolated wind damage may occur across the Gulf coast/Southeast. ...CO/KS/OK... Evening water vapor loop shows a shortwave trough over southern Manitoba. This trough will track southward across the northern
SPC May 28, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0744 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 280100Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS...AND OVER PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible across parts of the southern Plains to the Southeast. Large hail and severe winds will be the main threats across western and southern portions of Texas, with damaging winds the primary concern across Alabama and Mississippi. ...Southwest TX... Clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
SPC May 27, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1218 PM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS...AND FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.... ...SUMMARY... Occasional large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible across the northern Texas Panhandle and vicinity, and across southwest Texas/southeast New Mexico. Isolated wind damage may occur across the Gulf coast/Southeast. ...Synopsis... Blocking will persist over the CONUS, with a midlevel trough
SPC May 27, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across parts of the southern Plains to the Southeast. Large to very large hail and severe winds should be the main threats across western and southern portions of Texas, with damaging winds the primary concern across the Southeast. ...Southeast States... A modestly organized quasi-linear cluster persists at midday across east-central/southwest Alabama, with a trailing