SPC Mar 21, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1211 PM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KANSAS INTO MISSOURI... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms capable of producing isolated severe gusts/hail are possible Saturday night into early Sunday morning across portions of eastern Kansas into Missouri. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will rapidly traverse the central Rockies and eject into the Plains states as another mid-level trough moves into the Atlantic tomorrow (Saturday). Surface cyclone development should take place over the
SPC Mar 21, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1124 AM CDT Fri Mar 21 2025 Valid 211630Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Iowa Vicinity... An upper shortwave trough will move across the Midwest today and tonight, with increasing deep-layer west/northwest flow associated with this feature overspreading the region. Boundary layer moisture will remain scant ahead of an east/southeast moving cold front sweeping across the Lower MO/Mid-MS Valley this afternoon and evening. Nevertheless, very cold temperatures aloft (near -25 C at 500 mb, as sampled
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions and mostly sunny skies statewide today and remaining clear and dry tonight under high pressure (near 0-5% chance of rain). High temperatures in the middle to upper 60s across North Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s elsewhere. Winds near 5-10 mph with gusts upwards of 15-20 mph today, calming to up to 10 mph and gusts up to 15 mph this evening and overnight. Dry air filtering into Florida behind the recent cold front will drag relative humidity values down to near
SPC Mar 21, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1146 PM CDT Thu Mar 20 2025 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today. ...Synopsis... A northwest flow regime will exist across the CONUS today, with multiple embedded waves. In general, minimal thunderstorm activity is forecast due to a relatively stable air mass due to high pressure. One such high will be situated over the Southeast and into the Gulf through the period, with minimal moisture return into southern TX. Another surface high will be centered
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Freeze Warnings remain in effect across interior portions of the Northern Peninsula and Cold Weather Advisories remain in effect across North and West-Central Florida through the mid-morning hours this morning. Mostly dry conditions statewide today and tonight under the influence of high pressure (near 0-30% chance of rain); An isolated shower or two possible will be possible along Florida’s Atlantic Coast at times. High temperatures in the 50s across North Florida, 60s across Central Florida, and low to middle 70s across South Florida and the Keys.
SPC Feb 21, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 212000Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears very low across the U.S. today through tonight. ...20Z Update... A small cluster of elevated convection developed earlier today across the Brush Country region of south TX, with sporadic lightning flashes noted. This elevated convection was apparently driven by sufficient ascent/moistening near the base of the EML noted on the 12Z CRP sounding, and aided by a weak midlevel shortwave trough moving across the
SPC Feb 21, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0631 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Early morning surface analysis places the center of an expansive area of high pressure over MO. This area of high pressure (and its associated continental arctic airmass) is gradually expected to shift eastward throughout the day as shortwave trough progresses across the central Plains and into the Mid MS Valley. This evolution will maintain low-level offshore
SPC Feb 21, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0321 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 241200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... A dry airmass will be in place across the CONUS for all of next week. A cold front will move south across the Gulf on Monday. While some moisture recovery will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday, another front will move into the northern Gulf on Wednesday night and keep moisture offshore. Therefore, thunderstorm activity should be minimal and severe thunderstorms remain unlikely through the extended forecast period. Read more
SPC Feb 21, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across southern Louisiana on Sunday. No severe weather is expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will continue to advance southeast into the northern Gulf on Sunday. Elevated thunderstorms will likely be ongoing and persist through the morning and early afternoon within a region of isentropic ascent from south-central Louisiana to southeast Louisiana. Strong shear will be present as the mid-level flow strengthens. However, instability will be
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A low pressure system is moving along the central gulf waters and will bring widespread precipitation across North and Central Florida throughout the day. Very cold air to the north of the system will allow for wintertime precipitation to develop from west to east along the I-10 corridor throughout the day. Mostly snow cab be expected west of the Apalachicola River, with a mixture of wintry precipitation (snow, sleet, freezing rain) developing along the river and to the east. For areas east of the river, precipitation will