Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Freeze Warnings remain in effect across interior portions of the Northern Peninsula and Cold Weather Advisories remain in effect across North and West-Central Florida through the mid-morning hours this morning. Mostly dry conditions statewide today and tonight under the influence of high pressure (near 0-30% chance of rain); An isolated shower or two possible will be possible along Florida’s Atlantic Coast at times. High temperatures in the 50s across North Florida, 60s across Central Florida, and low to middle 70s across South Florida and the Keys.
SPC Feb 21, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0156 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 212000Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears very low across the U.S. today through tonight. ...20Z Update... A small cluster of elevated convection developed earlier today across the Brush Country region of south TX, with sporadic lightning flashes noted. This elevated convection was apparently driven by sufficient ascent/moistening near the base of the EML noted on the 12Z CRP sounding, and aided by a weak midlevel shortwave trough moving across the
SPC Feb 21, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0631 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Early morning surface analysis places the center of an expansive area of high pressure over MO. This area of high pressure (and its associated continental arctic airmass) is gradually expected to shift eastward throughout the day as shortwave trough progresses across the central Plains and into the Mid MS Valley. This evolution will maintain low-level offshore
SPC Feb 21, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0321 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 241200Z - 011200Z ...DISCUSSION... A dry airmass will be in place across the CONUS for all of next week. A cold front will move south across the Gulf on Monday. While some moisture recovery will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday, another front will move into the northern Gulf on Wednesday night and keep moisture offshore. Therefore, thunderstorm activity should be minimal and severe thunderstorms remain unlikely through the extended forecast period. Read more
SPC Feb 21, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are forecast across southern Louisiana on Sunday. No severe weather is expected. ...Discussion... A mid-level trough will continue to advance southeast into the northern Gulf on Sunday. Elevated thunderstorms will likely be ongoing and persist through the morning and early afternoon within a region of isentropic ascent from south-central Louisiana to southeast Louisiana. Strong shear will be present as the mid-level flow strengthens. However, instability will be
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, January 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A low pressure system is moving along the central gulf waters and will bring widespread precipitation across North and Central Florida throughout the day. Very cold air to the north of the system will allow for wintertime precipitation to develop from west to east along the I-10 corridor throughout the day. Mostly snow cab be expected west of the Apalachicola River, with a mixture of wintry precipitation (snow, sleet, freezing rain) developing along the river and to the east. For areas east of the river, precipitation will
SPC Jan 21, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Valid 212000Z - 221200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S. through tonight. ...20z... No changes were made. Widespread winter precipitation is ongoing along the Gulf Coast. High pressure over the interior of the central CONUS will continue to support very cold, dry and stable conditions with offshore flow. This will negate sufficient buoyancy for thunderstorm potential. See the prior outlook for more info. ..Lyons.. 01/21/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1012 AM
SPC Jan 21, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1248 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A large mid/upper-level trough will persist from the south-central Great Plains into the eastern CONUS on Thursday, as multiple embedded shortwaves move southeastward through the larger-scale trough. Generally dry and stable conditions in the wake of a significant cold intrusion should continue to limit thunderstorm potential through the period. ..Dean.. 01/21/2025 Read more
SPC Jan 21, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1124 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A deep mid/upper-level trough will remain in place over most of the CONUS on Wednesday. Anomalously cold conditions are expected from the Great Plains to the Eastern Seaboard, in the wake of a strong cold front. Weak MUCAPE may persist across far south FL and the Keys very early in the forecast period, but deep convection appears unlikely due to warm temperatures
SPC Jan 21, 2025 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0117 AM CST Tue Jan 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A cool and stable pattern will persist on Thursday across the CONUS with an expansive upper trough over much of the central states and into the Great Lakes. This trough may amplify as it becomes more progressive and moves into the MS Valley by 12Z Friday. A strongly cyclonic speed max will exist along the northern Gulf Coast, with cooling aloft to