SPC May 22, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0737 AM CDT Thu May 22 2025 Valid 221300Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF TEXAS AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Severe storms are possible across parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and evening. Large hail is the main threat, along with severe gusts. A few instances of 2+ inch diameter hail are possible. ...Southern Plains... Weak short-wave ridging will shift into the central High Plains later today and mid-level heights are forecast to rise from the
SPC May 22, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Wed May 21 2025 Valid 220100Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe storms are possible in the Ozarks region this evening. ...01z Update... Early-evening water-vapor imagery suggests a weak short-wave trough is digging southeast across NE/KS. Large-scale ascent ahead of this feature appears to be aiding weak elevated convection immediately downstream across northern KS. Over the last half hour or so, thickening cu field is noted across southwest MO
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 22, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect through the mid-morning hours across the Panhandle as dense fog and low clouds gradually lift and dissipate. A frontal boundary will stall over the Appalachians today will bring a chance for brief showers, possibly some rumbles of thunder, across the western Panhandle throughout the day (20-25% chance of rain). High pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to keep the rest of the state mostly dry. Sensitive wildfire conditions can be expected to continue throughout interior Central and Southwest
SPC Apr 22, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0250 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 Valid 222000Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible across parts of the southern/central Plains, mainly this afternoon and evening. Large hail and severe gusts should be the main threats. ...20z Update... The primary change for this forecast update is an inclusion of significant hail/wind areas to portions of western TX into far southwestern OK. Recent GOES visible imagery shows
SPC Apr 22, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0312 AM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025 Valid 251200Z - 301200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Days 4-5/Fri-Sat -- Central/Southern Plains... An upper ridge will build over the Plains toward the MS Valley this weekend as a deepening upper trough develops over the western U.S. Some lead shortwave impulses will likely migrate through the ridge, and southwesterly flow increases over the central/southern Rockies. At the surface, persistent south/southeasterly low-level flow will maintain a warm advection regime across the southern/central Plains, while a daily surface dryline evolves over the High Plains. While
SPC Mar 22, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1221 PM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon and evening from East Texas into the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys. Large hail and damaging gusts will be the main severe hazard, though a couple of tornadoes also are possible. ...East TX into KY/TN/AL... An upper trough over the Plains Sunday morning will shift east
SPC Mar 22, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1122 AM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025 Valid 221630Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING OVER A SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND VICINITY.... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms capable of producing isolated large hail and strong wind gusts are possible this evening and overnight from northeast Oklahoma and far northwest Arkansas into eastern Kansas and much of Missouri. ...MO/OK/KS/AR... Morning water vapor imagery shows a subtle shortwave trough moving across CO. This feature will move into the central Plains today
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 22, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions expected statewide today and tonight as an area of high pressure remains centered over the Sunshine State (near 0% chance of rain). High temperatures in the 70s statewide. Winds will reach up to 10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph. Dry air will continue to linger across the state will allow for sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions this afternoon and evening. The wildfire over southern Miami-Dade County may continue to create hazy conditions due to smoke. Low to moderate risk for
SPC Mar 22, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN TEXAS TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Afternoon storms from western Tennessee southwestward to northeastern Texas may pose a risk for severe wind and hail, and possibly a tornado or two. ...Synopsis... As an eastern U.S. upper trough continues progressing eastward toward/across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region, a second trough is progged to advance southeastward out of the northern Intermountain region into/across the northern and
SPC Mar 22, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1231 AM CDT Sat Mar 22 2025 Valid 221200Z - 231200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS...AND FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms capable of producing isolated large hail and strong gusts are possible this evening and overnight from northeast Oklahoma into portions of eastern Kansas and much of Missouri. ...Synopsis... As a leading shortwave trough moves eastward across the Mid Atlantic, high pressure behind a cold front will shift into the Great Lakes and OH/TN Valleys, also