SPC Mar 24, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF OR/WA/NORTHERN ID... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday afternoon into the evening. ...Pacific Northwest... Synoptic pattern appears favorable for early-season severe potential. Largely maintained a broad level 1-MRGL risk with overall scenario supporting at least isolated severe-storm potential. Parts of the region, focused west of the Cascades and over eastern OR/southeast WA, may warrant a
SPC Mar 24, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...FL Peninsula... In the wake of a low-amplitude shortwave impulse passage on D1, large-scale ascent appears nebulous across the region. Still, pronounced boundary-layer heating should yield at least isolated thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon, mainly along the east coast sea breeze. Cool mid-level temperatures could support hail growth amid moderate buoyancy. Modest deep-layer shear should temper the overall threat, but a few slow-moving
SPC Mar 24, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1108 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241630Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to the Florida Panhandle and far southern Georgia. ...Gulf Coast... Clusters of thunderstorms have been affecting parts of southern LA/MS/AL and the FL Panhandle this morning. The effective outflow boundary currently extends from the Delta region of southeast LA eastward across the Gulf
SPC Mar 24, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/severe storms will be possible across portions of the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A slowly progressive upper pattern will persist across the U.S. Wednesday, as an eastern U.S. trough continues to advance slowly toward the Atlantic Coast. Upstream, ridging over the interior West will gradually expand into the Plains, while still farther upstream, a second upper
SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1257 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Risk for severe weather appears low at this time across the U.S. on Tuesday. ...Discussion... A very slowly progressing upper pattern -- featuring an eastern U.S. trough and a ridge over the interior West -- will persist across the U.S. Tuesday. Through the second half of the period, an eastern Pacific trough is forecast to impinge on the West Coast. At the surface, the primary/remnant surface baroclinic zone
SPC Mar 24, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 AM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN LA...MS...AL AND WESTERN FL/GA... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/possibly severe thunderstorms will be possible today from southern Louisiana eastward to southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. ...Synopsis... Amplified mid-level flow will progress across the CONUS as an upper trough moves from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, and a ridge builds steadily over the West. A cold front, trailing from a surface low will advance
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 24, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: An active weather pattern can be expected throughout much of the day as an upper-level disturbance moves across the eastern gulf waters, then re-emerges off the Florida East Coast. Widespread rainfall, with instances of locally heavy downpours, can be expected throughout the Peninsula during the daytime hours as the disturbance approaches from the west (75-near 100% chance of rain). With track of the disturbance, embedded thunderstorms will also be possible, especially this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1
SPC Feb 24, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0630 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025 Valid 241300Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR SOUTHERN FL INCLUDING THE KEYS...AND OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OR AND WA... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong storms will be possible across the Florida Keys and into far southern Florida from late afternoon through evening. Localized damaging gusts or a brief tornado may occur. Isolated strong winds are also expected from the Oregon Cascades into southeast Washington. ...Far Southern FL and the FL Keys... Shortwave trough
SPC Feb 24, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2025 Valid 271200Z - 041200Z ...DISCUSSION... A strong mid-level trough will amplify across the East Coast on Thursday with a strong cold front sharpening along the Appalachians and moving into the Atlantic. Given the persistent continental airmass preceding the cold front with minimal moisture recovery, instablity should be quite weak. However, forecast soundings show some weak instability which could promote a few lightning flashes across the Carolinas and vicinity. In the wake of the cold front, dry air will remain across
SPC Feb 24, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0618 PM CST Sun Feb 23 2025 Valid 240100Z - 241200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms remain possible this evening mainly over parts of eastern Louisiana and across Mississippi. ...Synopsis and Discussion... Scattered thunderstorms continue to be most prevalent over the northern and central Gulf, near the offshore surface low. A few lightning flashes were noted over parts of northern LA into MS, but in general, this activity should continue to wane as winds veer with the passing lead wave aloft. Elsewhere