Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A few pop-up showers and embedded thunderstorms have developed this morning along the western Panhandle and will likely continue to pop-up throughout the day. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop around midday and throughout the rest of the daytime hours across North Florida (25-35% chance of rain). typical sea breeze thunderstorm pattern will develop this afternoon bringing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms throughout the Peninsula (45-75% chance of rain). Plenty of daytime heating will allow for some of these thunderstorms to become
SPC May 25, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 AM CDT Sun May 25 2025 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms, including the risk for very large hail, swaths of severe winds with isolated 75+ mph gusts, and a few tornadoes, are expected across parts of the southern Plains this afternoon and evening. Scattered severe thunderstorms with large hail and damaging winds will also be a concern across the lower Mississippi Valley into the Deep South. ...Synopsis... A
SPC May 25, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0749 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF STATES... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to focus across parts of the southern Plains tonight. Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes are all possible. Isolated severe storms are also possible across the central High Plains and parts of the
SPC Apr 25, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN NM...THE TX PANHANDLE...WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST OK... ...SUMMARY... A concentrated area of severe thunderstorms is forecast over the Texas South Plains and vicinity during the late afternoon and evening. Large hail and localized wind damage appears likely. ...Synopsis... Recent satellite imagery shows a cyclone west off the central West Coast, with a shortwave trough progressing through its base into southern CA.
SPC Apr 25, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0354 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025 Valid 281200Z - 031200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Mon - Southern Plains to Upper Midwest... A strong mid-level jet streak will move rapidly northeastward from the Southwest to the Upper Midwest on Monday. As this occurs, a surface low will deepen and move from the northern Plains to the northern Great Lakes. Strong southwesterly lower tropospheric flow will advect high theta-e air northward across the Midwest and into parts of the Upper Midwest. Broken to scattered cloudcover will support surface heating and
SPC Mar 25, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0221 PM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL STATES... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across south Texas into the Trans-Pecos from Thursday morning to evening, and over the Lower Missouri/Mid-Mississippi Valleys, mainly during the afternoon into Thursday night. ...South TX to the Trans-Pecos... Non-NAM guidance is fairly consistent with extensive deep convection ongoing across parts of south TX at 12Z Thursday, in association with a leading low-amplitude shortwave
SPC Mar 25, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday afternoon and evening. Coverage should be mostly isolated, but a more probable corridor for a few supercells is apparent west of the Cascades. These may produce large hail, a brief tornado, and locally strong gusts. ...Pacific Northwest... Confidence is sufficient for an upgrade to level 2-SLGT risk
SPC Mar 25, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1055 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST FL...AND OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN OK AND NORTH-CENTRAL TX.... ...SUMMARY... Gusty winds, along with some risk for hail, will accompany isolated thunderstorms across the southeastern Florida Peninsula, and parts of southeast Oklahoma and northern/central Texas. ...FL... A broad upper trough is present today over the eastern US, with the southern fringe of stronger westerlies across south FL. Ample low-level moisture and strong heating will
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Dense Fog Advisories remain in effect across the Panhandle and western Big Bend through the mid-morning hours as dense fog and low clouds have reduced visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times. Foggy conditions across North Florida will generally lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise and drier conditions develop with the help of high pressure returning over the Gulf Coast states. A broken line of showers with embedded rumbles of thunder will continue to push south of the I-4 corridor
SPC Mar 25, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 AM CDT Tue Mar 25 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY AND MIDWEST...AND ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... A few strong/severe storms will be possible Thursday from the Mid Missouri Valley into the Ohio Valley, and across parts of western and southern Texas. ...Synopsis... Deamplification of the upper pattern across the U.S. is expected Thursday, as an eastern U.S. trough departs into the Atlantic, and deamplifying eastern