Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 27, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: A weak front will attempt to sag southward towards the state line and I-10 corridor bringing isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms with it later in the day (15-20% chance of rain). Organized severe weather is not expected, but a locally strong to severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out. A few isolated showers may drift southward towards the I-4 corridor this afternoon, but chances are minimal. Elsewhere across the state mostly dry conditions can be expected as high pressure nearby continues to dominates. Sensitive to
SPC Apr 27, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0745 AM CDT Sun Apr 27 2025 Valid 271300Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE GREAT PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday evening into early morning Monday across parts of the Great Plains. Large hail, severe gusts, and a few tornadoes are all possible. ...Synopsis... Early morning satellite imagery shows modest upper ridging between a pair of well-defined cyclones, one centered over NV and the other centered over northern NY/VT. The NV
SPC Apr 27, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0800 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025 Valid 270100Z - 271200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST TX...AND ALSO NEAR THE ARKLATEX VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms may continue over eastern New Mexico into parts of west Texas through the evening. A threat for large to very large hail and a couple of tornadoes are the primary risks. Scattered strong to severe storms also remain possible across parts of western/central Arkansas and vicinity. ...Eastern NM into
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN OK TO NORTHERN MO... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible from northern Oklahoma into the Lower Missouri Valley on Saturday evening/night. Large to very large hail could be the primary hazard, but severe gusts and a couple tornadoes may occur. ...Central States... Primary changes with this outlook are to add a level 2-SLGT risk and expand the level 1-MRGL along the dryline through TX.
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE CENTRAL STATES... ...SUMMARY... A low-probability tornado and wind threat remains forecast for Friday morning through evening across portions of the western Gulf Coast States. Isolated severe hail is possible from the Upper Midwest into Nebraska on Friday evening/night. ...TX Coastal Plain to LA... After extensive preceding convection yesterday through today, poor mid-level lapse rates will be prevalent across much the region ahead
SPC Mar 27, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1128 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 271630Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered large hail and localized severe wind gusts are possible across parts of the Lower Missouri/Mid-Mississippi Valleys. ...Central Plains to Lower Missouri/Middle Mississippi Valleys... Scattered thunderstorms, including a few lingering strong storms, continue late this morning from eastern KS into northern MO within a warm-air advection regime. Morning raob data over the central Great Plains indicated the northeastern
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 27, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report EOC Activation Level: Level 2 Meteorological Summary: Mostly dry conditions and mostly clear skies across the Sunshine State today and tonight under high pressure (near 0-5% chance of rain). Cloudier conditions will gradually develop along the Florida Panhandle throughout the day and overnight. High temperatures in the middle 70s to upper 80s statewide. Easterly winds near 5-10 mph with gusts near 10-15 mph nearly statewide today. Breezier conditions with winds near 10-15 mph and gusts near 15-25 mph expected across South Florida and the Keys. Low relative humidity values (20-40%) , increasing winds
SPC Mar 27, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0236 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA TO PARTS OF IOWA AND ILLINOIS... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms developing Saturday evening may pose local risk for hail and potentially strong wind gusts. ...portions of Oklahoma northeastward into Iowa/Illinois... Substantial uncertainty exists regarding the forecast for Saturday across the central U.S. -- with models exhibiting notable differences with respect to evolution of the surface pattern. Additionally, the NAM in particular maintains strong capping
SPC Mar 27, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI VALLEY AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...AND FROM THE EASTERN HALF OF TEXAS TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of eastern and southern Texas and into southern Arkansas and Louisiana Friday, and from Nebraska into parts of the Upper Midwest on Friday evening/night. ...Synopsis... A slow-moving southern-stream short-wave trough will continue shifting across
SPC Mar 27, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Valid 271200Z - 281200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI/MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION...AND SOUTH TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Multiple rounds of severe thunderstorms are possible in south Texas with hail and wind as the primary hazards. Across parts of the Lower Missouri/Mid-Mississippi Valleys, isolated to scattered large hail and localized severe gusts are possible, mainly during the late afternoon and evening. ...South Texas... Complex, slow-moving upper trough will eject across northern Mexico toward deep South