SPC MD 811
MD 0811 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL KENTUCKY INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN TENNESSEE Mesoscale Discussion 0811 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025 Areas affected...south-central Kentucky into parts of northern Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161606Z - 161830Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms may persist in the near term west of the WW 261. Hail and locally strong gusts are most likely. DISCUSSION...Episodes of storms continue to move eastward across KY and northern TN within the low-level warm advection regime, and atop existing outflows. Instability continues to strengthen over TN