Forecast: POL quiet, AUR active, SUB quiet
Geomagnetic forecast for the next 6 hours No storm watch Polar (POL): quiet Auroral (AUR): active + active intervals Sub-Auroral (SUB): quiet
Current: POL quiet, AUR active, SUB quiet
Current conditions of the magnetic field Polar (POL): Quiet Auroral (AUR): Active Sub-Auroral (SUB): Quiet
Current: POL active, AUR stormy, SUB unsettled
Current conditions of the magnetic field Polar (POL): Active Auroral (AUR): Stormy Sub-Auroral (SUB): Unsettled

New NOAA research predicts an increase in active Atlantic hurricane seasons
Tropical cyclones are among the most deadly and costly natural disasters that affect the United States and many other countries each year. This has led the scientific community to prioritize improving tropical cyclone prediction and the understanding of how tropical cyclone activity has changed and will change in the future. In a new study published in Science Advances, NOAA and partner researchers project an increase in the variability of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity, leading to more active and inactive hurricane seasons and less near-normal seasons. The study investigates how the frequency and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) in the North Atlantic