SPC Apr 21, 2025 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0730 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025 Valid 211300Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today across the upper Ohio Valley/lower Great Lakes and parts of the Southeast. Damaging winds and marginally severe hail are the primary risks. ...Upper Ohio Valley to the Lower Great Lakes... An upper trough with an attendant 55-70 kt mid-level jet will advance
SPC – No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 21 12:35:01 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Mon Apr 21 12:35:01 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Apr 21 12:35:01 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Apr 21 12:35:01 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 21, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 AM CDT Mon Apr 21 2025 Valid 241200Z - 291200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Day 4/Thu -- Central/Southern Plains... Some severe thunderstorm potential is possible across the southern/central Plains on Day 4/Thu. Similar to the Day 2-3/Tue-Wed period, a low-amplitude, and generally modest deep-layer southwesterly flow regime will persist. Southerly low level flow ahead of a southward sagging front across the central Plains, and to the east of a dryline extending southward across the southern High Plains will sustain advection of Gulf moisture across the region. At least some
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Mon Apr 21 00:29:04 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Apr 21 00:29:04 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 20, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025 Valid 202000Z - 211200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected today across parts of the ArkLaTex into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley, mainly this afternoon and evening. The best corridor for tornadoes (some of which could be strong) and scattered to numerous damaging winds should exist from central/northern Arkansas into Missouri. ...20z Update.. A broken line of thunderstorm activity continues near the surface low
SPC – No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 20 12:21:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 20 12:21:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Sun Apr 20 12:21:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Apr 20 12:21:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 20, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0323 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025 Valid 231200Z - 281200Z ...DISCUSSION... A low-amplitude southwesterly flow regime will prevail for much of the Day 4-8 period across portions of the central and eastern U.S., with a mean upper trough persisting across the western states. Persistent south/southeasterly low-level flow across the Gulf and southern Plains will result in northward transport of rich boundary-layer moisture across the southern and parts of the central Plains through at least Day 6/Fri. Forecast guidance suggests weak shortwave impulses may float through modest
SPC – No watches are valid as of Sat Apr 19 12:23:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sat Apr 19 12:23:02 UTC 2025.