SPC Apr 14, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1258 AM CDT Mon Apr 14 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY...CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley eastward to the Mid-Atlantic. Large hail, severe wind gusts, and a tornado threat will be possible. ...Lower Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic... At mid-levels, a positively-tilted trough will move through the northern Plains as a low moves northeastward into Ontario.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Sun Apr 13 22:12:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Apr 13 22:12:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 13 22:12:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 13 22:12:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 13, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 132000Z - 141200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms will be possible from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the Great Lakes, and from the central Rockies to the lower Missouri Valley through tonight. Severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...20z Update... The prior forecast remains valid with only minimal changes to the western edge of the Thunder area. Isolated thunderstorms ongoing over parts of the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes should spread eastward through tonight. Additional elevated thunderstorms will
SPC Apr 13, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 1930Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... A large upper trough will move rapidly eastward from the Great Lakes and OH Valley into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, with a surface high pushing into the lower MS Valley and Southeast. The drying behind this system will significantly reduce thunderstorm chances over much of the CONUS on Tuesday. A very low chance of early day convection may exist
SPC Apr 13, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 AM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 161200Z - 211200Z ...DISCUSSION... An active severe weather pattern is expected late week into next weekend. ...D5/Thursday... Guidance has converged to a signal of severe-storm threat centered on Thursday evening as a deep surface cyclone becomes established in the KS vicinity, downstream of a longwave trough in the West. An enriching low-level moisture plume will be advected nearly due north from the western Gulf towards the Lower MO Valley. A stout EML should limit convective development along much of
SPC – No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 13 08:54:02 UTC 2025
No watches are valid as of Sun Apr 13 08:54:02 UTC 2025.
SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Sun Apr 13 08:54:02 UTC 2025
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Apr 13 08:54:02 UTC 2025.
SPC Apr 13, 2025 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0227 AM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday. ...Eastern NC... Timing of surface cold front passage Tuesday late morning to afternoon remains crucial as to whether thunderstorms can form and intensify over land, before becoming entirely confined off the coast. Guidance, except for the UKMET, has generally been trending towards a slightly faster frontal passage over the past couple days. This suggests the window of opportunity for sustained severe
SPC Apr 13, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
SPC 0600Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1243 AM CDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Valid 141200Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS... ...SUMMARY... A couple tornadoes along with scattered damaging winds and large hail are possible from mid-afternoon to mid-evening across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley and central Appalachians. ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough will further amplify over the Upper Great Lakes towards the ON/QC border, supporting gradual deepening of a surface cyclone from 995 to 990 mb. In its